Expert Week 11 NFL anytime touchdown scorer prop bets, including EXCLUSIVE DraftKings odds boost: AJ Brown bounces back

A.J. Brown of the Philadelphia Eagles
Photo of Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley

Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley


Show Bio

NFL and NBA props specialist for Pickswise.

The touchdown articles over the last two weeks have been profitable. In that span, we are 12-13 for +2.52U. The key has been to find heavily juiced favorites and adding in their team ML where possible, side from that that we are staying in the -110 to +140 range and avoiding the real long shots when possible.

We are fortunate enough to receive an EXCLUSIVE odds boost from DraftKings Sportsbook to use on an anytime touchdown scorer bet in the Sunday games. This boost will add +100 odds to the player picked if the original odds are +100 or better, so I will target more players with realistic odds.

Simply click the link in the tweet below to take advantage of our exclusive boost:

I’ve been targeting weak red zone defenses and games with higher totals as well.  Our degenerate parlay has come 1 leg short in the past two weeks as well, and I refuse to let up!

Check out all of our complete NFL predictions for Week 11!

The Favorites

Cordarrelle Patterson, ATL (-120)

The game total on this is set at 49.5, one of the highest of the weekend. 56% of the Bears touchdowns allowed are rushing(31st) and that number jumps to 61% on the road. They’ve given up a rushing TD to the opposing RB in 6 straight games and that continues this Sunday.

AJ Brown, PHI (+115)

I’m very curious how Philly bounces back after their first loss of the season and AJ Brown specifically. He is coming off his worst game of the season and gets a Colts defense that is ranked 29th overall in DVOA against WR1s. This game total is at 45.5 and Brown should be on a mission. Love this at plus-odds.

Brian Robinson, WAS (+120)

Robinson is coming off his best performance of the season, one in which he scored on the goal line. The Texans rank 31st in rush DVOA and 56% of their TDs allowed are rushing. They’ve allowed a rushing TD to an opposing RB in an astounding 8/10 games and 4 straight. The Brian Robinson train is only gaining steam.

Gabriel Davis & Buffalo Bills ML (+175)

Going back to the well on this one. You can get this line on FanDuel Sportsbook. The Browns rank 25th in DVOA against WR2s and 30th in DVOA against deep passes. This sets up for Gabe Davis to have another one of his explosive days that come every few weeks. The game total is 49.5 and the Bills are favored by -7.5 on a neutral field (in Detroit due to snowstorm in Buffalo). If you’re feeling frisky Gabe Davis to score a pair of TDs is +800.

Get our NFL player prop best bets for Week 11

The Dark Horses

Nico Collins, HOU (+330)

Collins only has 1TD on the season but missed two games due to injury and returned last week to 10 targets. The Commanders are a great opportunity for Collins to have an explosive day. They rank 26th overall in DVOA for deep passes and 32nd in DVOA against WR2s. They allow 1.8 passing TDs per game (28th) and are extremely weak in deep passes against the left side of the field (Collins side). This entire game sets up for him to go off. Collins to score 2TD is +3000.

Tommy Tremble, CAR (+600)

Hey old friend! We bet Tremble to score a TD in Week 1 at +750 and he literally fell down at the 1-yard line. Well Baker Mayfield is back under center this Sunday in what should be a blow out. This would likely be a garbage time TD, but Baker strongly favors his TEs, and the Ravens actually rank 26th overall in DVOA vs TEs. It’s a longshot for a reason, but I’ll take the chance he gets one when the game doesn’t matter.

James Mitchell, DET (+950)

Mitchell is the backup tight end for the Detroit Lions. It’s worth mentioning that because 95% of the people reading this article have no clue who he is. Mitchell scored a TD 2 weeks ago right after Hockenson got traded. He’s playing roughly ~22% of the snaps and gets a Giants defense that is ranked 30th in DVOA vs TEs. The Giants give up the 5th-fewest rushing TDs per game so one of Goff’s red zone trips should feature a Mitchell target. Can he make it two TDs in 3 weeks?

Our NFL Week 11 mega parlay has +1005 odds!

Degenerate Parlay (+9487 odds)

Cordarrelle Patterson

AJ Brown

Brian Robinson

Gabriel Davis + Bills ML

Nico Collins

A $10 wager wins $948!

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Predictions and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook


No Sweat First Bet up to $3,000 for Chiefs vs. Eagles - Guaranteed

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $3,000!

Get refunded up to $3,000 in bonus bets if you lose

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at



Virginia Bettors- Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet for Chiefs vs. Eagles!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.



Bet $1 on Chiefs vs. Eagles and Get $200 in Free Bets at bet365!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $200 in free bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

New Customer Offer. Deposit required. Free Bets added to Free Bet Credits balance. Free Bet risk excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply. Must be physically located in VA.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $5 on Chiefs vs. Eagles, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Make your first deposit and bet $5 on any sports market

Receive $200 in bonus bets instantly, no matter what!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as free bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at



Get $250 in Bet Credits,Starting With $50 for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $50 and receive a refund in bet credits if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Wager on Chiefs vs. Eagles and Your First Cash Bet Is On Caesars Up To $1,250

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

If you lose, you get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit - up to $1,250.

AND win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits.

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Bet on Chiefs vs. Eagles and Get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on Chiefs vs. Eagles

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply

Owners Box


First Time Deposit Bonus Up To $500

Sign up for a new DFS account with OwnersBox

User's first deposit will be matched up to $500 in site-credit

Join one of their Daily NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL contests

You must be at least eighteen (18) years of age to receive deposit bonuses, participate in Contests, or win prizes offered through OwnersBox Contests. In jurisdictions, territories, and locations where the minimum age for permissible use of Contests is greater than eighteen (18) years old, you must meet the age requirement in your local jurisdiction or territory.