Expert Week 12 NFL anytime touchdown scorer prop bets: Thanksgiving TD Edition

Detroit Lions running back D'Andre Swift (32) scores a touchdown against Los Angeles Rams during the first half at the SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif. on Sunday, Oct. 24, 2021

Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley

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Published: 9:03 AM ET November 24, 2022

Every Thanksgiving I create TD Scorer + ML parlay to ride for the entire day. It’s what I most look forward to outside of the food. It’s very exciting from watching perspective and adds a little spice to your day. For my article, I will be sharing my favorite TD scorers for the day, but the degenerate parlay will be my tradition of TD scorer + ML winner. Best of luck and Happy Thanksgiving!

D’Andre Swift (+170)

Line available on Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

The Bills rank 28^th overall in DVOA vs RBs in the passing game. Detroit is 6-0-1 ATS with Swift in the line (thank you Clevta!) and with the O/U set at 54.5, this looks like a shootout. Buffalo has given up 9 TDs to opposing RBs this season and being top 4 in rush DVOA means it could be difficult for Williams to find the end zone like he has. This should be a fast pace, pass happy game to start the holiday and I’m banking on Swift his 6^th TD in 8 games.

Gabriel Davis (+120)

Line available on Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

This game gets 2 TD scorers since the total is at 54.5. Davis faces a Lions secondary that’s allowed 9 TDs to opposing WRs and is now missing Jeffrey Okudah. Even with Okudah, Detroit ranks 26^th overall in DVOA to WR2s and gashed deep on both sides of the field. Davis has 5 TDs on the year and has seen his target share increase greatly over the last 2 weeks. I missed on this last week, but he has an even better matchup on Thursday.

Tony Pollard (-120)

Line available on Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

Zeke returned last week and scored twice, but only on 29% of the snaps. And that was in a complete blowout. The switch has been made and Tony Pollard is the RB for the Cowboys. He’s simply more dynamic and gives the offense an element that Zeke just could not provide. The Giants have allowed 10 TDs this season to opposing RBs, including 2 through the air. I expect many Cowboys to score on Thursday, but Pollard is the one I feel most comfortable with regardless of the juice. Can he make it 4 straight games?

TJ Hockenson (+220)

Line available on Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

Hockenson already scored against New England in Week 3 as a Lion, I have him doing it against this week for his first career TD as a Viking. Minnesota has been actively trying to get Hockenson in the endzone since he joined the team. He’s had 6 RZ targets since joining the team in Week 9. The Patriots have allowed a whopping 7 TDs to opposing TEs this season and it’s a great spot for Hockenson to score on Thanksgiving like he did last year.