MLB Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals same game parlay at (+525 odds) - Arenado, Bader hit Hendricks hard

St. Louis Cardinals hitter Nolan Arenado
Photo of Mark Lammey

Mark Lammey

MLB · 1 week ago

Show Bio

I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind.

Both the Cubs and Cardinals finished off a 4-game divisional series yesterday and now meet up for the weekend. Neither ended their previous series well, as both lost on Thursday. St. Louis was at least able to get the series split against the Brewers as they battle for the top spot in the NL Central. On the other hand, the Cubs lost 3 of 4 games to the Pirates and are now a full 13 games behind the Cardinals in the division. Thankfully, there are more ways to look at this game than just the side.

Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our thoughts on the side and total for all of today’s games.

Cardinals team total Over 4.5 total runs (-120)

Nolan Arenado 2+ total bases (+115)

Harrison Bader 2+ total bases (+160)

Parlay odds: +525

Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.

Cardinals team total Over 4.5 total runs (-120)

While it may seem clear-cut that the Cardinals should win this game, they are opening this series with a bullpen day. That means they will not be having a conventional starter on the mound and instead will have usual-reliever Andre Pallante. While he’s had a few starts this season, St. Louis just lost to the Pirates the last night while using a bullpen day. Rather than focus on the lack of value for the Cardinals to win, let’s instead target them to at least produce runs on Friday night. They will be facing a combination of Kyle Hendricks and the 4th-worst bullpen in all of baseball.

The Cubs’ relievers alone are enough for the Cardinals to reach this total. They just allowed the Pirates to win in comeback fashion yesterday and were a large part in Pittsburgh scoring 12, 7, 5 and 8 runs throughout the 4-game series. Better yet, the Cardinals may not need to wait until the later innings to hit this prop. Hendricks is coming off a start in which he allowed 6 runs in just 4.1 innings. That was the 3rd time he allowed at least 4 runs in his last 5 starts. Even without the advantageous matchup, St. Louis has scored the 4th-most runs in the league this season. The Cards’ 346 runs puts them only behind the powerhouses of the Mets, Yankees and Dodgers. Chicago doesn’t have nearly the caliber of pitching to handle that type of lineup, which should allow the Cardinals to score at least 5 runs.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for the Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Nolan Arenado 2+ total bases (+115)

Now it’s time to focus on how the Cardinals are going to reach their team total. It shouldn’t come as a surprise at the hitters we’re focusing on, given the Cardinals consistent lineup. First up is Nolan Arenado, who has been in MVP discussions since the opening week of the season. There isn’t much that hasn’t been said about him, and he is coming off of 3 straight games with at least 3 total bases. Those came against a far superior pitching staff in the Brewers, and Arenado has feasted on Hendricks. He has a .528 slugging percentage against him, including 3 home runs. He just hit 2 doubles yesterday, so his ability to cash this prop on a single swing has been on full display. Along with the weak Chicago relievers, Arenado could cash this 2 times over to both start and finish this game. 

Harrison Bader 2+ total bases (+160)

This is where one would likely expect the name of Paul Goldschmidt or even Tommy Edman. However, the price for Harrison Bader is far more valuable after the attention that those 2 receive. He may not have quite the numbers of Goldschmidt this season, but he is right behind the Cardinals’ big 3 with 61 hits. That includes 6 doubles, 3 triples and 5 home runs — any of which would hit this prop in just one plate appearance. What’s more impressive is that his slugging percentage against Hendricks is .524 percent, nearly identical to Arenado’s. His success against him include 3 extra-base hits, which only improves his value. After he was able to rest yesterday, Bader should come through to make this same game parlay very profitable.

Don’t miss our MLB parlays for tonight’s action!

What is a Same Game Parlay?

Check out our guide on what is a same game parlay and where can I bet it?

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5 on any UFC 276 fight, Get $100 instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any UFC 276 fight

Win $100 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.