NFL Week 3 three-team mega parlay (+1312 odds): Saints bounce back

New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) during the first half against the Green Bay Packers at TIAA Bank Field.
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Andrew Ortenberg

NFL· 3 weeks ago

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I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The 2021 NFL season has been great so far, and we have another exciting slate on Sunday for Week 3. Why not celebrate the fun by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL edition.

I’ve been on fire with these in other sports. I cashed the CFB mega parlay I did for Week 0 at better than 10/1, and then cashed the CFB one I did for Week 1 at 15/1. I’ve also hit the MLB mega parlay several times recently. Why not translate that success to the pro football ranks? We’re going big and bold, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.

New Orleans Saints ML (+130)

Atlanta Falcons ML (+130)

Miami Dolphins ML (+167)

Parlay odds: +1312

Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.

New Orleans Saints ML (+130) over New England Patriots

A week ago on the lookahead line, this game was a pick ’em. Because of one bad game from the Saints and one good game from the Patriots, oddsmakers have overreacted. This line is inflated just from a numbers perspective, but there are a bunch of matchup factors that point toward New Orleans as well. New England won one game against the Jets, and some people are ready to declare Mac Jones the next big thing.

The fact of the matter is the Patriots have been hiding Jones. This past week in the victory, he had the lowest average depth of target of any quarterback. The coaching staff isn’t asking him to do anything down the field. They want to rely on Damien Harris and their ground game, but that won’t work against the Saints. New Orleans is allowing 2.8 yards per rush attempt, the second-best mark in the league. You can’t run on their defensive front. The Saints are also getting healthier in their secondary, as two starters who were out last week will return (Marshon Lattimore and CJ Gardner-Johnson).

Be sure to check out our full game preview for New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

Atlanta Falcons ML (+130) over New York Giants

We’re sticking in the NFC South for the second leg of our mega parlay. Daniel Jones a significant favorite against just about anyone? Yeah, alright, give me the ‘dog. All jokes aside, I don’t think the Falcons are nearly as bad as most people seem to think. They actually made major strides last week. The final score says they lost 48-25 to the Buccaneers, but that’s very misleading. Atlanta actually out-gained Tampa Bay in that game. The Falcons had the ball down 28-25 in the fourth quarter, and then back to back fluke pick-sixes at the end of the game distorted the final score.

New York is coming off a demoralizing game, and the team isn’t buying what head coach Joe Judge is selling anymore. The Giants just gave up 30 points to Taylor Heinicke and Washington. Saquon Barkley isn’t getting anything going on the ground, and Jones will likely come crashing down to earth after a rare good game from him.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Miami Dolphins ML (+167) over Las Vegas Raiders

To wrap this parlay up, we have the Dolphins. Speaking of overreactions, the Dolphins shouldn’t be this large of an underdog. If this game had been played a week ago the line probably would’ve been close to even, and now Miami is an underdog of more than a field goal. Tua Tagovailoa won’t play here with a rib injury. Tagovailoa has looked pretty bad when he’s played this season, so I don’t see how oddsmakers could think it’s be a big downgrade going to Jacoby Brissett.

The offense should be just about the same, at worst. Everyone is hopping on the Las Vegas bandwagon because of their win over Pittsburgh last week. But I think that had more to do with the Steelers being just plain bad than anything else. Big Ben simply can’t move this offense against anybody right now. Miami’s defense is very talented, and its two elite corners–Xavien Howard and Byron Jones–will shut down the deep shots Derek Carr has been taking.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

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