PGA Tour predictions: BMW Championship pre-tournament best bets

Tiger Woods hits a shot at the Genesis Invitational.
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Golf· 1 year ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

With the FedEx Cup Playoffs featuring only three tournaments this season (down from four), we are already one-third of the way through the 2020 “postseason” festivities. But fear not, golf fans! Whereas the playoffs normally conclude the meat of golf’s calendar, in this unusual year we still have two more majors on the schedule (the U.S. Open next month and the Masters in November).

For now, though, the focus remains on the road to Atlanta—where next week’s Tour Championship will welcome the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings. At the moment 70 players remain, a number that includes Tiger Woods (who was far from his best at The Northern Trust but at least performed well enough to advance to this week’s BMW Championship). Woods is joined in a strong field at this Chicago-based event by Northern Trust champion and world No. 1 Dustin Johnson (a +800 favorite), Jon Rahm (+1000), Justin Thomas (+1400), and Bryson DeChambeau (+1400).

Let’s take a look at the best bets heading into first-round action on Thursday. And be sure to check out our outright winner pick plus daily picks for playoff events and majors on the PGA Tour picks page.

Tiger Woods to beat Adam Scott (-110)

Woods persevered through another unspectacular tournament last week, finishing tied for 58th at The Northern Trust. On the bright side, two of his rounds were encouraging. The 44-year-old opened with a 68 and closed with a 66. On Sunday, he was 5-under through the first seven holes. That stretch, however brief, still shows that Woods is capable of catching fire and being dominant when he does. He is a two-time winner of the BMW Championship in its 13-year history, albeit never at this course at Olympia Fields. As for Scott, he has played only two tournaments since golf returned from the coronavirus hiatus and placed T22 at the PGA Championship before tying with Woods in the 58th spot at The Northern Trust. If Woods is even decent with his putter in Chicago, he should be able to ride momentum from his performance this past Sunday.

Jason Day to finish in the top 10 (+250)

Not unlike the case with Woods, the most important factor for Day heading into the second playoff tournament is that he looked 100 percent physically at TPC Boston. The Australian often struggles with back problems, just like Woods, but nothing has been stopping him from playing well this summer. Day has been a top-10 machine, producing such results in four straight events before finally missing a cut at The Northern Trust. Some time off, however, may not be a bad thing for Day. The 32-year-old triumphed at the BMW Championship in 2015 and should at least come close to doing so again.

Collin Morikawa to finish in the top 20 (-120)

Unsurprisingly, Morikawa struggled to make a quick turnaround at The Northern Trust so soon after his life-changing performance at the PGA Championship. Like Day, the 23-year-old American probably didn’t mind a weekend off. Mentally and physically, Morikawa should be back with a vengeance this week. He has already posted four top-20 finishes this summer (including his PGA triumph, a title at the Workday Charity Open, and a runner-up showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge). Morikawa is quite clearly one of the best players in the world right now and should not have too much trouble being one of the 20 best in a field of just 70 men.

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $2, Win $150 CASH for NBA Tipoff!

Register for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make a deposit of $10+

Bet $2 on any NBA game on Oct. 19 or Oct. 20

If you pick the winner correctly, you win $150 in CASH!

21+ and new players only. Max bet $2, max reward $150. Must deposit $10+ to be eligible for promotion. Full terms available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Unibet

$50

Bet $5, Win $50 if Your Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with Unibet and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any NBA team to win their next game

If your team hits a 3-pointer during the game, you win a bonus $50 - regardless of the game's outcome!

Max bet $5. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Unibet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 On The NBA!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

place a money line bet of at least $5+ on any NBA Basketball game that starts between 10/19 and 11/7

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.