PGA Tour predictions: BMW Championship pre-tournament best bets

Tiger Woods hits a shot at the Genesis Invitational.
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Golf

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

With the FedEx Cup Playoffs featuring only three tournaments this season (down from four), we are already one-third of the way through the 2020 “postseason” festivities. But fear not, golf fans! Whereas the playoffs normally conclude the meat of golf’s calendar, in this unusual year we still have two more majors on the schedule (the U.S. Open next month and the Masters in November).

For now, though, the focus remains on the road to Atlanta—where next week’s Tour Championship will welcome the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings. At the moment 70 players remain, a number that includes Tiger Woods (who was far from his best at The Northern Trust but at least performed well enough to advance to this week’s BMW Championship). Woods is joined in a strong field at this Chicago-based event by Northern Trust champion and world No. 1 Dustin Johnson (a +800 favorite), Jon Rahm (+1000), Justin Thomas (+1400), and Bryson DeChambeau (+1400).

Let’s take a look at the best bets heading into first-round action on Thursday. And be sure to check out our outright winner pick plus daily picks for playoff events and majors on the PGA Tour picks page.

Tiger Woods to beat Adam Scott (-110)

Woods persevered through another unspectacular tournament last week, finishing tied for 58th at The Northern Trust. On the bright side, two of his rounds were encouraging. The 44-year-old opened with a 68 and closed with a 66. On Sunday, he was 5-under through the first seven holes. That stretch, however brief, still shows that Woods is capable of catching fire and being dominant when he does. He is a two-time winner of the BMW Championship in its 13-year history, albeit never at this course at Olympia Fields. As for Scott, he has played only two tournaments since golf returned from the coronavirus hiatus and placed T22 at the PGA Championship before tying with Woods in the 58th spot at The Northern Trust. If Woods is even decent with his putter in Chicago, he should be able to ride momentum from his performance this past Sunday.

Jason Day to finish in the top 10 (+250)

Not unlike the case with Woods, the most important factor for Day heading into the second playoff tournament is that he looked 100 percent physically at TPC Boston. The Australian often struggles with back problems, just like Woods, but nothing has been stopping him from playing well this summer. Day has been a top-10 machine, producing such results in four straight events before finally missing a cut at The Northern Trust. Some time off, however, may not be a bad thing for Day. The 32-year-old triumphed at the BMW Championship in 2015 and should at least come close to doing so again.

Collin Morikawa to finish in the top 20 (-120)

Unsurprisingly, Morikawa struggled to make a quick turnaround at The Northern Trust so soon after his life-changing performance at the PGA Championship. Like Day, the 23-year-old American probably didn’t mind a weekend off. Mentally and physically, Morikawa should be back with a vengeance this week. He has already posted four top-20 finishes this summer (including his PGA triumph, a title at the Workday Charity Open, and a runner-up showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge). Morikawa is quite clearly one of the best players in the world right now and should not have too much trouble being one of the 20 best in a field of just 70 men.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook
Bet $5+ and Receive $200 in Bonus Bets!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account

Bet $5 on any sporting event

Receive $200 in Bonus Bets

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+
bet365
Bet $1 and Get $365 in Bonus Bets!

Register for a new bet365 account

Place qualifying bets of $1 or more

Get $365 in bonus bets - no matter if your bet wins or loses

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in OH, CO, NJ, VA, IA. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
DraftKings
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Up to $150 in No Sweat Bets!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any sports market and get $200 in bonus bets instantly

Plus up to $150 back in bonus bets if your team loses!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as bonus bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com.
Caesars Sportsbook
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

Place your first wager of $50 or more and get $50 bonus bet upon settlement of your first wager

You will receive an additional $50 bonus bet each subsequent Monday

21+. New users and first wager only. Must register with eligible promo code. Bet amount of qualifying wager returned only if wager is settled as a loss. Min. bet $50; must be used within 14 days of receipt. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Void where prohibited. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
BetMGM
Get $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if you Don't Win Your First Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,500!

Get refunded up to $1,500 in bonus bets if you don't win

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, MA 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Nevada, New York or Ontario
Betfred
Bet $50, Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back!

Sign up for a new account with Betfred Sports and make your first deposit

Place a $50 wager on any sport

Get $111 in Fred Bets + Up To $1,000 Back in Losses over 5 Week!

Must be 21+. T&Cs apply. Wagers only accepted in CO, AZ, IA, OH, VA, MD. Full terms available from Betfred Sports.
PointsBet
Get Up To $1,000 in Second Chance Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

If any of your first 10 cash bets lose (first bet per day for 10 days)

You will receive Bonus Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $100 each.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in. Eligibility restrictions apply. Subject to regulatory licensing requirements. Opt-in req. Valid 1 per customer.
BetRivers
Get up to $500 Back in Bonus Bets if your First Bet Doesn't Win

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code SPORTS

Make your first deposit & and bet up to $500

If your first bet loses, get up to $500 back in bonus bets

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF
DraftKings
Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Create a new DraftKings Sportsbook account and make your first deposit (min $5)

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.
Underdog Fantasy
First deposit is 100% matched up to $500 with Underdog Fantasy!

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $500) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply
Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy