UFC 269 predictions: Four-fight parlay (+682 odds)

Jul 10, 2021; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Dustin Poirier following his victory against Conor McGregor during UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 month ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC 269 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a lightweight title fight as the main event and a Women’s bantamweight title fight as the co-main event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC 269 that pays at odds of +682. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 269 predictions for the full 15-fight card.

Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier ML (-145)

Dustin Poirier comes into this fight with an MMA record of 28-6. He is 21-6 in the UFC, most recently beating Conor McGregor by TKO/KO in July. Poirier is averaging 5.62 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 4.19 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.50 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 36% and his takedown defense is 61%.

As good as Charles Oliveira has been, having won 9 fights in a row, Poirier looks to be the right side here. His powerful striking should be the difference and he has gone toe to toe with some elite fighters recently, making Poirier worth a play to become the new lightweight champion.

Kai Kara-France vs Cody Garbrandt – Fight to end by TKO/KO (-150)

Kai Kara-France comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-9. He is 5-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Rogerio Bontorin by TKO/KO in March. Kara-France is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. He is absorbing 3.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%.

Cody Garbrandt comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4. He is 7-4 in the UFC, most recently losing to Rob Font by unanimous decision back in May. Garbrandt is averaging 3.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 38%. He is absorbing 4.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%.

Both Kara-France and Garbrandt have won 10 fights in their careers by TKO/KO and have both been knocked out a handful of times as well. For that reason, backing this fight to end by TKO/KO looks to be worth a play.

Josh Emmett ML (-155) vs Dan Ige

Josh Emmett comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-2. He is 7-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Shane Burgos by TKO/KO in June. Emmett is averaging 4.32 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 39%. He is absorbing 4.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.43 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 47% and his takedown defense is 50%.

Emmett is certainly starting to make some noise in the featherweight division, winning 5 of his last 6 fights in the UFC. His striking is better, his striking defense is better and his grappling is better, so backing Emmett to win his 4th fight in a row looks to be a solid play.

Andre Muniz ML (-145) vs Eryk Anders

Andre Muniz comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-4. He is 5-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Jacare Souza by submission in May. Muniz is averaging 2.16 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 1.90 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. As for his grappling, Muniz is averaging 3.12 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 2.3 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 40%.

Muniz might not have the same level of striking that Eryk Anders has, but he has the grappling to be able to control this fight. Having never lost in the UFC is also an important factor, so backing Muniz to stay perfect in the UFC will be the play.

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