UFC Fight Night 198 predictions: Four-fight parlay (+535 odds)

Feb 29, 2020; Norfolk, Virginia, USA; Sean Brady (red gloves) celebrates beating Ismail Naurdiev (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Chartway Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 week ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC Fight Night 198 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a women’s bantamweight fight as the main event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC Fight Night 198 that pays at odds of +535. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 198 predictions for the full 12-fight card.

Sean Brady Money Line (-180) vs Michael Chiesa

Sean Brady comes into this fight 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Jake Matthews by submission back in March of this year. Brady is averaging 4.72 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. He is absorbing 3.60 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling is also very good, averaging 2.69 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 60% and his takedown defense is 100%.

Even though Michael Chiesa has been pretty good when grappling, he has shown he is vulnerable to being submitted. Of his 5 losses in the UFC, 4 have come by submission, therefore backing Brady to win and remain undefeated looks to be the best play.

Joanne Wood vs Taila Santos Win by Decision (-165)

Taila Santos comes into this fight 4-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Roxanne Modafferi by unanimous decision back in September of this year. Santos is averaging 3.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. She is absorbing 2.01 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. Her grappling is even better, averaging 2.60 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 86% and her takedown defense is 88%.

Santos is the clear favorite here, though her money line price is much too high. She has won all of her UFC fights by decision, so backing the same here will be the top play.

Adrian Yanez vs Davey Grant – Fight to go the Distance – No (-190)

Adrian Yanez comes into this fight 4-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Randy Costa by TKO/KO back in July of this year. He is averaging 6.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. He is absorbing 4.80 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%.

Grant comes into this fight 4-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.21 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 3.25 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is solid as well, averaging 2.07 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 46% and his takedown defense is 60%.

Yanez has won all of his UFC fights by finish, specifically TKO/KO, proving that he has some crazy power. Grant has seen 5 of his 8 UFC fights end inside the distance, therefore backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the top play.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs Sean Soriano – Fight to go the Distance – No (-150)

The biggest concern for Sean Soriano is when he fights on the ground. He has lost 3 of his 4 UFC fights by submission, and has a total of 6 losses by finish. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke has seen 19 of his 26 career fights end inside the distance, which includes 14 wins by finish and 4 losses by submission. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bets from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

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