Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC Fight Night 225 takes place on Saturday at the Singapore Indoor Stadium in Singapore, Singapore. This card features a featherweight fight between Max Holloway and The Korean Zombie as the Main Event.
We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 225 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC predictions for picks on every Main Card fight. Let’s get into our best bets for Saturday’s card.
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UFC Fight Night 225 Main Card best bets
Max Holloway vs The Korean Zombie – Fight to go the Distance – Yes (+130)
Max Holloway is a significant favorite, so his money line looks far too risky to bet here. Instead, we will be looking for this fight to go the distance. Holloway has seen his last 8 fights go the distance, while The Korean Zombie has seen 2 of his last 3 fights go the distance as well. For that reason, backing this fight to go the distance will be our best bet.
Ryan Spann ML over Anthony Smith (-130)
Ryan Spann comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-8. He is 8-4 in the UFC, most recently losing to Nikita Krylov by submission back in March of this year. Spann is averaging 3.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. He is absorbing 3.32 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.64 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.9 submission attempts during the same time period. Spann’s takedown accuracy is 37% and his takedown defense is 45%.
These guys fought in 2021, where Anthony Smith won by submission. Since that fight, Smith has gone 0-2, while Spann is 2-1. Spann is likely going to have a better gameplan in the rematch so because he has been more consistent recently, backing him to win will be our best bet.
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Rinya Nakamura Win in Round 1 over Fernie Garcia (+100)
Rinya Nakamura comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-0. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Toshiomi Kazama by KO/TKO back in February of this year. Nakamura is averaging 8.57 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. He is absorbing 3.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also elite, averaging 4.76 takedowns per every 15 minutes and is averaging 2.4 submission attempts per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and his takedown defense of 100%.
Nakamura is one of the biggest favorites on the entire card, so his money line cannot be considered an option. Instead, we will look for Nakamura to win by a specific method. Nakamura has won 6 of his 7 career fights by finish, while 5 of these 6 wins came in the first round. This includes his last 2 fights in a row. He looks set to dominate this fight quickly as well, therefore backing Nakamura to win in Round 1 will be our best bet.
You can also read our UFC Fight Night 225 4-fight parlay
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