UFC predictions, picks and best bets for UFC Fight Night 191: Brunson can continue his win streak

August 17, 2019; Anaheim, CA, USA; Ian Heinisch moves in with a hit as Derek Brunson defends during UFC 241 at Honda Center.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

UFC Fight Night 191 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a middleweight fight as the main event.

We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 191 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 191 predictions page for picks for every fight on the main and preliminary card. Please gamble responsibly when following our MMA picks and predictions.

UFC Fight Night 191 main card best bets

Derek Brunson ML (+155) vs Darren Till

Derek Brunson comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-7. He is 16-6 in the UFC, most recently beating Kevin Holland by unanimous decision in March. He has now won 4 fights in a row. Brunson is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 2.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. Brunson is also a great grappler, averaging 3.11 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 33%, but his takedown defense is 94%.

Brunson comes into this fight in better form and his power looks to be legit. Because he also is a great grappler, that balance looks to be enough to propel him to a 5th straight win.

Alex Morono ML (-135) vs David Zawada

Alex Morono comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-7. He is 8-4 in the UFC, most recently beating Donald Cerrone by TKO/KO back in May. Morono is averaging 5.05 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 3.69 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling is not as effective, averaging 0.43 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 25% and his takedown defense is 52%.

This fight looks to be pretty even, but because David Zawada has lost 3 of his first 4 UFC fights, fading him here will be the play.

UFC Fight Night 191 preliminary card best bets

Jack Shore to win by finish (-105) vs Liudvik Sholinian

Jack Shore comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-0. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Hunter Azure by split decision in April. Shore is averaging 3.14 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 57%. He is absorbing 1.61 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. Shore is a master at grappling, averaging 5.52 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 46% and his takedown defense is 100%.

Liudvik Sholinian comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-2-1. He will be making his UFC debut. He has won 4 fights in a row with his last fight coming in 2019. Most of his wins have come by decision and but he has 4 finishes in his career.

Shore is a huge favorite and rightly so, as he has been perfect so far. He has 12 wins by finish, 8 coming by submission and 4 by TKO/KO. Even though Sholinian has never lost by a finish, stepping up to UFC competition looks to be too tall of a task. For that reason, backing Shore to win by finish will be the top play.

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bet from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

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