UFC predictions, picks and best bets for UFC Fight Night 192: Spann can shock Smith

May 11, 2019; Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Ryan Spann (blue gloves) reacts to fight against Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (red gloves) during UFC 237 at Jeunesse Arena.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 4 weeks ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC Fight Night 192 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card will feature a light heavyweight fight as the main event.

We are sharing our UFC Fight Night 192 best bets here, but head over to our main UFC Fight Night 192 predictions page for picks for every fight on the main and preliminary card. Please gamble responsibly when following our MMA picks and predictions.

UFC Fight Night 192 main card best bets

Ryan Spann ML (+150) vs Anthony Smith

Ryan Spann comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-6. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Misha Cirkunov by TKO/KO back in March of this year. Spann is averaging 3.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. He is absorbing 3.45 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.72 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 41% and his takedown defense is 60%.

While Anthony Smith has been better in his 2 most recent fights, he can still be very inconsistent. He struggles to defend takedowns sometimes and the balance from Spann looks to be the biggest difference here. For that reason, backing Spann as an underdog will be the play.

Mandy Bohm ML (+105) vs Ariane Lipski

Ariane Lipski comes into this fight with an MMA record of 13-7. She is 2-4 in the UFC, most recently losing to Montana De La Rosa by TKO/KO back in June of this year. Lipski is averaging 2.76 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 33%. She is absorbing 4.25 and has a striking defense of 48%. Her grappling is not as good, averaging just 0.23 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 23% and her striking defense is 42%.

Mandy Bohm comes into this fight with an MMA record of 7-0. This will be her UFC debut. So far, Bohm has showed that she can win in many different ways. She has 2 wins by TKO/KO, 2 by submission and 3 by decision.

Even though Bohm has not yet fought in the UFC, she looks to be the side worth playing here. Lipski has been too inconsistent to back, even at a short price, so backing Bohm to win and remain undefeated will be the play here.

Arman Tsarukyan Win by Decision (-135) vs Christos Giagos

Arman Tsarukyan comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-2. He is 3-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Matt Frevola by unanimous decision back in January of this year. Tsarukyan is averaging 3.35 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. He is absorbing 1.43 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. Tsarukyan is also a solid grappler, averaging 3.50 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 35% and a takedown defense of 78%.

Tsarukyan is a massive favorite and while he looks to be the right side, backing his money line is not worth it. He has won all of his UFC fights by decision, so a Tsarukyan win by decision looks to be a solid play.

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bet from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

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