UFC predictions, picks and best bets for UFC on ESPN 22

Oct 5, 2019; Melbourne, AUSTRALIA; Robert Whittaker (red gloves) reacts after losing to Israel Adesanya (blue gloves) during UFC 243 at Marvel Stadium.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore


Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this.

We are back in Las Vegas at the UFC Apex for UFC on ESPN 22. This weeks card will feature a Middleweight fight as the Main Event.

We’ll share our UFC on ESPN 22 best bets here but head over to our main UFC on ESPN 22 predictions homepage if you want picks for every fight on the main and preliminary card. Please gamble responsibly when following our MMA picks and predictions.

UFC on ESPN 22 Best Bets

Main Card

Robert Whittaker Win by Decision (+120)

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 22 will see Robert Whittaker comes into this fight with a UFC record of 13-3. He is averaging 4.52 significant strikes per minute, but only has a striking accuracy of 40 percent. Whittaker is absorbing 3.44 strikes and has a striking defense of 60 percent.

Kelvin Gastelum has had plenty of disappointing results recently, so there really is no way I can back him to win here. I like the striking from Whittaker and believe he will win this fight. His last four wins in the UFC have been by decision, therefore backing him to win on the cards will be my top play for this fight at plus money.

Preliminary Card

Tracy Cortez Win by Decision (-120)

Tracy Cortez is a heavy favorite here and comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-1. She is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Stephanie Egger by unanimous decision. She is averaging 3.67 significant strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 53 percent. Cortez is absorbing 1.98 strikes and has a striking defense of 62 percent. Her grappling is solid as well, averaging 3.00 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 42 percent and her takedown defense is 85 percent.

Even though Justine Kish looks to be a more aggressive striker, Cortez does a better job at grappling and her ability to avoid damage is better. Cortez has won all of her UFC fights by decision, so I will back the same here.

Josiane Nunes Win (-120)

Zarah Fairn comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-4. She is 0-2 in the UFC after losing to Felcia Spencer in her most recent fight. Fairn is averaging only 1.98 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45 percent. She is absorbing 6.61 strikes and has a striking defense of 39 percent. Her grappling is nothing great and she defends takedowns 50 percent of the time.

Josiane Nunes will make her UFC debut here and has an MMA record of 7-1. She has won six fights in a row and now has six wins by TKO/KO. Her lone loss came back in 2013 too, so Nunes looks to be a special prospect. Given that her opponent has a questionable chin, I am going to back Nunes here. Fairn has yet to impress and the power from Nunes is likely going to be the difference. For that reason, I will gladly back Nunes to pick up a win in her UFC debut.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook


Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets No Matter What

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet of $5

Get $150 in bonus bets no matter what

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.



Virginia Bettors- Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $5, Get $200 in Free Bets Instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 in free bets no matter what!

Gambling Problem? Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA(select parishes)/MD/MI/NJ/NY/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Void in OH/ONT. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. $200 issued as free bets that expire 7 days (168 hours) after being awarded. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com..



Get $100 in Free Bets, for 5 Days Straight

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Your First Cash Bet Is On Caesars Up To $1,250

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account and Place your 1st wager of $10 or more

If you lose, you get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit - up to $1,250.

AND win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits.

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Get $1,000 Paid Back in Bonus Bets, if you Don't Win

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up to $1,000 in bonus bets if you don't win

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get up to $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply