Parlays

Monday's NBA parlay
Yesterday
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
DET Pistons @ BOS Celtics · Game Totals
Under 223.5
Our Analysis

Monday night will feature a matchup between the beast in the East and the least in the East. Or at least the second-least for the sake of accuracy of this article as the Detroit Pistons will go to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics. Surprisingly, the last time these two teams met in December, the game was competitive and went into overtime where the Celtics prevailed 128-122. Tonight’s game will be the first of two times these two teams will play each other this week. The Celtics are coming off a 130-104 victory yesterday against the Washington Wizards. Sam Hauser knew his role and played it well, scoring 30 points while going 10-13 from three-point range. Boston is currently on a 5-game winning streak. Detroit is coming off a two-game set against the Miami Heat where they lost both games. Bam Adebayo broke the tie on Sunday with a game-winning, buzzer beating three to bury the Pistons. Before the back-to-back losses, Detroit was on a streak where they had won three of four games. They had defeated the Nets, Hornets, and Raptors, three teams that are nowhere near the level of Boston.

Today’s Detroit Pistons team is not the same team that we saw go on a historic losing streak earlier this season. The Pistons are beginning to find a semblance of a competitive edge near the end of the season. Cade Cunningham is beginning to grow into a better leader and playmaker. Detroit has a pair of young, forceful big men in their starting lineup with Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart. Guard from Purdue, Jaden Ivey, is also playing well on the offensive with eleven straight games scoring in double figures. With all that said, the Celtics are still leaps and bounds in front of the Detroit Pistons. The Celtics are currently 30-3 when playing on their home court. It is less of a question on if Boston will win tonight, but instead by how much will Boston win by. 16 points is a little too high for me to bet for even odds. Instead, I’m going to look at the under for this game. Overall scoring has been down in the NBA in the month of March. We are beginning to see less whistles and more defensive intensity in each game. Both the Celtics and the Pistons also played just last night and needed to travel into Boston for this game today. We could potentially see some tired legs or a slower pace due to the back-to-back.

Under 223.5 available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Miami Heat
Philadelphia 76ers
MIA Heat @ PHI 76ers · Game Totals
Under 210.0
Our Analysis

Neither team has excelled with scoring since the All-Star break. In their last 13 games the Heat rank 25th in pace (95.8), while the 76ers are even slower ranking 29th (93.7). Having only one consistent scoring threat in Maxey is a big issue, opponents know who to focus on in order to keep you from scoring. The 76ers have struggled heavily because of this, their offensive rating is only 27th in those 13 games, they’re scoring just 108.4 points per 100 possessions. Add to that now the absence of Tobias Harris, they could suffer even more. Miami likes to win games on the defensive end, they’re the 8th best defense in the league since the break, they’ve allowed just 98.7 points per game in their last 3 outings. With 6 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams cashing on the under, I think that is the way to go with tonight’s game as well.

Under 210 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors
NY Knicks @ GS Warriors · Game Totals
Under 211.0
Our Analysis

The Knicks have been on a defensive tear, holding their last five opponents under 100 points. Their acquisition of OG Anunoby has bolstered an already stingy defense, allowing them to switch everything and protect the paint effectively.

While the Warriors boast an explosive offense led by Steph Curry, their defensive prowess should not be overlooked. They excel at forcing opponents off the three-point line and contesting shots at the rim. With both teams playing at a deliberate pace, the game could devolve into a grind-it-out affair.

The previous matchup between these two teams saw a final score of 110-99. Expect a similar defensive-minded approach, as neither team wants to get caught in a high-scoring shootout. The Knicks’ commitment to limiting transition opportunities and the Warriors’ ability to control the paint should lead to a low-scoring battle of wills.

UNDER 210 available at time of publishing. Only play at the number or higher.

Sportsbook
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Payout
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$68.74
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Monday's NBA mega parlay
Yesterday
Miami Heat
Philadelphia 76ers
MIA Heat @ PHI 76ers · Money Line
MIA Heat Win
Our Analysis

Miami has recovered well after a 4-game losing streak with consecutive wins over the Pistons this weekend. Jimmy Butler is questionable to play, he didn’t participate in Sunday’s win over the Pistons. Miami does lead the regular season series 2-0, they enter this game on a 6-1 SU/ATS run in the last 7 meetings. Miami has dominated the head-to-head proceedings with 7 wins in 10 games.

Without Joel Embiid the 76ers are just 11-22 SU this season, a play-in tournament spot appears to be the likeliest outcome for their season. Tyrese Maxey played his heart out and they barely beat the Charlotte Hornets 109-98 over the weekend for only their 2nd win in 7 games. They also lost Tobias Harris to an injury; he is questionable to play tonight. In their last 13 home games the 76ers have covered just twice. With Miami covering in 4 of their last 5 visits to Philly, I have them beating the shorthanded Sixers here.

New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors
NY Knicks @ GS Warriors · Money Line
NY Knicks Win
Our Analysis

All the pressure is on the Warriors here, they have to follow up their impressive weekend road win over the Lakers. That might be a lot tougher to do than people might think. The Knicks have looked really solid over the past couple of weeks, recording 4 wins in their last 5 games. The return of OG Anunoby has sparked this run, the focus of opposing defenses is no longer solely on containing Jalen Brunson.

That’s resulted in him dropping 42 points in the win over the Sacramento Kings, there’s no question in my mind he will deliver another big-time performance tonight. Despite the win at LA, I’m still not feeling too confident in the Warriors. They’ve been streaky over their last 5 games, losing to the likes of San Antonio, Chicago and Dallas during that stretch. New York is in a good groove right now, I think they can get a result here.

Atlanta Hawks
Los Angeles Lakers
ATL Hawks @ LA Lakers · Point Spread
LA Lakers -8.5
Our Analysis

Atlanta’s win over the Clippers last night was impressive, but an injury riddled team like theirs could struggle playing their 2nd game in less than 24 hour. A total of 6 players including Trae Young, Saddiq Bey and Onyeka Okongwu find themselves on the injury report, that’ll prove costly against a high paced team like the Lakers. The Hawks have recorded just 1 victory in their last 7 road games against the Lakers.

LA needs to respond after that tough home loss to the Warriors. LeBron James exploded for 40 points, but a sub-par performance from Anthony Davis now has the team in purple and gold only 10th in the West. A win here, combined with a loss by Golden State gets them back in the thick of things, Atlanta is the perfect team to take out their frustrations on. LA enters the game riding a 6-game win streak vs East coast teams, plus they’ve won 11 of the last 15 meetings between the two teams.

Sportsbook
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Payout
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$105.52
Filip Tomic
Monday's NHL parlay
Yesterday
Washington Capitals
Calgary Flames
WAS Capitals @ CAL Flames · Money Line
WAS Capitals Win
Our Analysis

The Calgary Flames will be looking to remain in the playoff hunt as they host the Washington Capitals who sit one point out of a wildcard playoff spot on Monday night. In one previous meeting between these two teams, the Capitals won 3-2 via the shootout. The Caps are coming off a big road win against the powerhouse Vancouver Canucks and if they can beat them, they can certainly handle the Flames. Charlie Lindgren, who is slated to get the start on Monday, has been red-hot as of late. He is 4-1 in his last five starts, allowing only six goals in those five games. Future hall-of-famer Alex Ovechkin has been playing well also, trying to will this team into the playoffs. With a win they can slide into a wildcard spot, a position not many people thought they would be in this season. The Flames are not the strongest team offensively and the Caps should be able to keep pace with them.

I think the Caps will continue to prove their doubters wrong and keep this underdog story they have going alive. The Caps have great value as the road underdogs in this game. I will be taking them on the money line.

Capitals ML (+115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Buffalo Sabres
Seattle Kraken
BUF Sabres @ SEA Kraken · Money Line
BUF Sabres Win
Our Analysis

The Buffalo Sabres are one of the most confusing teams to try to handicap. They topped the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in a shootout on March 9, kicking off a three-game winning streak. They topped both the Detroit Red Wings and New York Islanders by four games apiece, and they ran it back in the Motor City for a matinee game Saturday. Of course, the Sabres were worked over, the offense went cold, and Buffalo fell 4-1 against the same team it just whipped 7-3 four days prior. The Sabres have the tools to be a good team. Like a really good team. But consistency is key for this team, and they just cannot bring that to the table for long stretches of time.

The Seattle Kraken had a tremendous second season in the NHL, going to the playoffs, pushing heavyweight around, etc. It was a magical run. This season, not so much. The Kraken are 11 points out of a playoff spot with 16 games to go, so things look bleak in the Pacific Northwest. The offense has dried up in recent games, going for one or no goals in 3 of the past 4 outings, while picking up just one point out of a possible eight during the stretch. Seattle is 5-0-0 all-time against Buffalo, though, so it should be an easy two points, right? The Kraken have won 4 of the 5 meetings by three or more goals since the Kraken came into the league, but the Sabres are the play in the Pacific Northwest on Monday night. They’re just playing better lately.

Sabres ML (+100) at time of publishing. Playable to -105.

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Sportsbook
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Payout
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$43.63
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