UFC 328: King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction for Saturday, 05/09/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 328 will see King Green take on Jeremy Stephens. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Green enters this fight with an MMA record of 34-17-1 and 19-14-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.38 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Green is absorbing 3.58 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling has been decent throughout his career, averaging 1.31 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 42% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Stephens enters this fight with an MMA record of 29-22 and 15-19 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.17 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Stephens absorbs 3.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.16 takedowns every 15 minutes. Stephens has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 65%.

Green is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be looking at his method of victory. Stephens has had a rough time in the UFC as of late, having lost his last 6 UFC fights in a row. Of these 6 losses, 3 of them have been by finish. Green, on the other hand, is 5-3 over his last 8 UFC fights and has 3 wins by finish. Given Stephens ‘ terrible form and Green’s decent finish rate, backing Green to win by finish will be our lean.