UFC Fight Night 277: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji Prediction

UFC Fight Night 277: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji Prediction for Saturday, 05/30/26

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Sat May 30
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UFC Fight Night 277: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji Pickswise Expert Predictions

Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-125)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 277 will see Alex Perez take on Sumudaerji. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Perez enters this fight with an MMA record of 26-10 and 9-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.41 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Perez is absorbing 3.20 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.21 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 48% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Sumudaerji enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-7 and 6-4 in the UFC. He averages 4.43 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Sumudaerji absorbs 2.35 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling ability has been decent, averaging 0.67 takedowns every 15 minutes. Sumudaerji has a takedown accuracy of 35% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Perez is the small favorite; however, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. While Sumudaerji has only seen 3 of his last 8 UFC fights end inside the distance, Perez has seen 8 of his last 9 UFC fights end inside the distance. This includes his last 4 UFC fights in a row; therefore, backing the same here will be our play.

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Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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