UFC Fight Night 277: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris Prediction for Today, 05/30/26

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 277 will see Jake Matthews take on Carlston Harris. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Matthews enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-8 and 15-8 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.34 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Matthews absorbs 2.62 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.44 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 64%.

Harris enters this fight with an MMA record of 19-7 and 4-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Harris is absorbing 3.46 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.46 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 22% and a takedown defense of 55%.

For this fight, we will be looking for it to end inside the distance. Matthews has seen 3 of his last 6 UFC fights end inside the distance, which includes each of his last 2 fights. Harris, on the other hand, has seen 6 of his 7 UFC fights end inside the distance, including his last 3 UFC fights in a row. Because of this, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.