UFC Fight Night 277: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman Prediction for Saturday, 05/30/26

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 277 will see Kai Asakura take on Cameron Smotherman. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Asakura enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-5 and 0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.40 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. Asakura absorbs 4.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 38%. He has not yet shown any takedown ability, but has a takedown defense of 57%.

Smotherman enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-6 and 1-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 37%. Smotherman is absorbing 3.52 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. He has not, however, shown any grappling ability.

Asakura is the heavy favorite, but given his winless start in the UFC, we will be looking for this fight to go over 1.5 total rounds. Smotherman has seen 3 of his 4 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Asakura has seen 1 of his 2 UFC fights do the same. They both have shown the ability to last a few rounds in their fights; therefore, backing Over 1.5 Total Rounds is our lean