UFC Fight Night 277: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira Prediction for Saturday, 05/30/26

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 277 will see Sergei Pavlovich take on Tallison Teixeira. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Pavlovich enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-3 and 8-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.43 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Pavlovich is absorbing 3.62 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling ability is decent, averaging 0.48 takedowns every 15 minutes. Pavlovich has a takedown accuracy of 25% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Teixeira enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 64%. Teixeira absorbs 3.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 42%. He has also started to show some grappling ability, averaging 2.48 takedowns every 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 30%.

Pavlovich is the significant favorite; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to simply start Round 2. Teixeira has seen 3 of his 4 UFC fights end in the first round, but his most recent UFC fight went the distance. As for Pavlovich, he has seen each of his last 3 UFC fights go to at least the second round; therefore, backing this fight to start Round 2 will be our play.