College Football Week 11 Player Props: Best Bets & Picks

Saturday’s Week 11 college football slate is loaded with five ranked games and multiple other matchups with College Football Playoff implications. By now, we have you covered with CFB predictions and my CFB best bets, so it’s time to get into the player prop market.

Here are three of my favorite player prop angles on the Week 11 card, with lines and odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.  

CFB Week 11 Player Prop: Lee Beebe Jr. (IND) 80+ rushing yards (-118)

Playable to 84.5 (-110). 

The Indiana Hoosiers have a dynamic duo out of the backfield, but RB Turbo Richard will not play against USC due to a shoulder injury. As such, Lee Beebe Jr. will assume the lead role, though he’s no stranger to high usage. He actually leads the team in rush attempts, carrying the ball 134 times for 715 yards -- an average of 5.3 yards per attempt. No other running back on Indiana’s roster even has 15 carries, so I’m expecting Beebe to get all he can handle. 

Every time Beebe has carried the ball at least 15 times against power conference opponents, he’s surpassed 80 yards, including last week at Minnesota (84 yards), at Rutgers (122 yards) and against Northwestern (203 yards). This is a good matchup for him, as USC is 94th in stuff rate, outside the top 80 on standard downs and 78th in rush success allowed excluding garbage time since Week 5. Further, the Trojans rank 111th in PFF tackling grade, which is less than ideal against Beebe, who has the seventh-most missed tackles forced in the Big Ten. The cold weather only helps him in that regard. 

Get our USC vs Indiana prediction, including a five-star best bet

CFB Week 11 Player Prop: Isaiah Mizell (ARZ) 5+ receptions (+118)

Playable at this number to +100.

You can find over 3.5 juiced to about -180, but that’s a bit too rich for my liking, especially when plus money is available for just one more reception. Isaiah Mizell is Arizona’s leading receiver in targets and receptions, and he’s seen an uptick in usage since Trey Spivey’s injury against Cincinnati. In fact, Mizell has garnered at least seven targets and reeled in at least six catches in each of Arizona’s four games since that injury, batting 1.000 on this number we’re getting at plus-money odds. 

Utah’s defense is solid against the pass, but every opposing leading receiver they’ve played from a power conference has caught at least five passes. Given Mizell’s uptick in usage, it makes too much sense to add this prop to the card, and that’s before considering Utah’s travel complications on Friday night. For what it’s worth, despite Utah being undefeated, the Utes are only 47th in PPA per pass allowed over the last six weeks, while they’re 98th in passing downs PPA. The Wildcats rank top 15 in PPA per pass and passing downs PPA over the last six weeks, and Mizell is absolutely going to be a frequent target of Noah Fifita on passing downs.

Get our Utah vs Arizona prediction for this Big 12 showdown

CFB Week 11 Player Prop: Mazeo Bennett Jr (SC) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)

Playable to +100. 

I’ve avoided picking touchdown props in this article for 11 weeks because my colleague Ricky Dimon writes up his favorite CFB touchdown props every week, but I just can’t help myself on this one. Mazeo Bennett is a huge part of the South Carolina passing attack, so much so that oddsmakers have his receptions line at 5.5 and his receiving yards line around 70, and yet, FanDuel is offering a juicy +135 on his touchdown prop. This number -- frankly any plus-money price -- screams value on Bennett, who has scored in four straight games. He leads the team in targets and receptions, proving to be a much more reliable target than Nyck Harbor. Plus, OC Kendal Briles has package plays for him when South Carolina is deep in the red zone, finding creative ways to get him the ball despite just a five-foot-ten frame. 

Arkansas is a massive step down in class from the defenses the Gamecocks have seen of late, which should be a boost to the South Carolina offense as a whole. After injuring his ankle last week, though he is probable to play, I’m expecting QB LaNorris Sellers to be a bit limited as a runner -- which would only improve Bennett’s chances of getting the ball in scoring situations.