Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions

Sun 7/25 1:05 ET
Braves
Atlanta Braves
47-48
47-48
Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park

Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis

Money Line Prediction
PHI Phillies Win
Odds
Bonus
Game Totals Prediction
Under 9
Odds
Bonus

Money Line Prediction

The Braves have been treading water since the all-star break, 3-4 heading into Saturday’s action. They did pick up Joc Pederson to help in the outfield, but I think they are going to go with what they have right now and hope for the best. There is not a lot separating the teams in the NL East, how they do against their rivals is likely going to determine if they stay in the race or not. Philly is the team I think has the best chance to catch the Mets in the division. The Phillies are pretty healthy and have talent but they need to get better on the mound, both in the rotation and in relief. Some wins over Atlanta would definitely help their cause is showing upper management that they mean business. Outfielder Joey Gallo would look great in this lineup, because Philly is just 20th in homers this season. 

Touki Toussaint was called up by the Braves recently and made his first start of the season. He was looking very sharp against San Diego, just 1 run allowed over 6+ innings. That game was at home but he might be playable on the road too. Phillies righty Aaron Nola continues to disappoint. I thought he was in for some positive regression in the second half but he opened up giving up 4ER to the Yankees in his last start. These teams might be about even but you can’t ignore the past performances of the respective starting pitchers. Nola has killed the bankroll a little this season, but I still like backing the Phillies ace at home. I’m not going to fade him against Toussaint; that’s for sure. Take Philadelphia.

Game Totals Prediction

I am looking for a command performance from Aaron Nola in this spot. Philly needs a statement win and I think he gives it to them at home. Both of his July starts have gone over the total but he has not been pitching to his ability. With slugging leadoff hitter Ronald Acuna Jr. out for the Braves there is not that spark to the top of the lineup they had when he faced them in June and the game went over. In starts against Atlanta in April and May the games came in under the total. Take the under

*(9 available at publishing; playable down to 8.5.)*

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