Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/04/26

The Atlanta Braves had a bit of a scare in this weekend’s series when Ronald Acuna Jr. left the game with another leg injury. While it ended up being better than they thought, it still landed him on the injured list, but it didn’t stop the Braves from continuing their winning ways and sweeping the Colorado Rockies. Things didn’t go quite as smoothly for the Seattle Mariners, as they took a tough series sweep at the hands of the Kansas City Royals, who haven’t exactly been great themselves this season.

The Braves will have exciting young pitching prospect JR Ritchie on the mound on Monday night, fresh off two starts where he allowed just five hits and two earned runs in each. However, things might not be as rosy as it seems for Ritchie, who gave up six walks over those two outings and largely managed to escape trouble. Despite the 2.92 ERA over the two starts, he has a 4.77 xERA that we’d like to see get down before we buy into the rookie too much.

Logan Gilbert has been getting his season back on track after a rough first month, where he allowed eight earned runs in just two starts in March. April went much better for the veteran, as he allowed only nine earned runs over his five starts. While Ritchie’s advanced numbers don’t paint him in a great light, it’s actually been better for Gilbert, whose xERA is nearly 0.50 lower than his actual ERA. If the Mariners were ever going to steal a game off a top team, it could be in this pitching matchup.

Let the odds do the talking in this game, they’re begging for us to take the Braves as an underdog, but the Mariners are the play.

Braves vs Mariners prediction: Mariners ML (-150) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number.