Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/14/26

The Boston Red Sox have been one of my most disappointing teams so far, and the Minnesota Twins have outperformed my expectations to this point. Minnesota enters Tuesday with a 10-7 record following their Monday night victory, while Boston fell to 6-10 with that loss. Garrett Crochet had his worst start as a professional Monday, allowing 10 earned runs in a shockingly poor performance. Minnesota also recently got to Framber Valdez as well which is noteworthy. That being said, Minnesota is not a lineup that strikes fear into me on paper, and Sonny Gray has looked very sharp in his last 2 outings. Gray struggled in his season and team debut but has bounced back nicely over his last 2 starts. In 12.1 innings against the Brewers and Padres Gray has allowed just 2 earned runs while allowing 0 walks and 0 home runs.

Mick Abel is the scheduled starter for Minnesota in Tuesday’s matchup. The right-hander was a major prospect for the Phillies before being shipped to Minnesota during last season’s trade deadline. Abel is coming off his best outing in a Twins uniform with 6 shutout innings against the Tigers. That being said, Abel allowed 9 earned runs in just 7.1 innings against the Orioles and Rays in his first 2 starts. Walks have been a major concern so far, issuing 10 walks in his first 3 starts including at least 3 free passed in each start. Boston has not gotten off to their best start offensively but at current pricing I side with the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox vs Twins prediction: Red Sox ML (-134) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

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