Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/14/26

After a 4-game win streak that included a sweep of the Astros in Colorado, the Rockies have fallen back to Earth. They have lost 4 straight game, a 4-game sweep against the Padres, and will now face the Astros again — this time in Houston. Things haven’t gotten much better for the Astros since last week; they have lost 8 straight games, and they failed to score more than 2 runs in half of them.

Right-handed pitcher Michael Lorenzen will take the hill for Colorado, while Houston will go with left-hander Colton Gordon. Houston saw Lorenzen last week, but they couldn’t score on him despite 7 hits. Through 5.2 innings, Lorenzen gave up just 1 run. Meanwhile, Gordon will make his first start of the season in the big leagues. Last season was forgettable for Gordon (5.34 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 20 games), but he showed some promise in Spring Training, giving up just 1 earned run in 5.1 innings.

Lorenzen may have had a great showing last week against Houston, but his 8.36 ERA suggests that was an anomaly. He probably should regress back to the mean, but with an xERA at 6.19 and a xFIP at 4.52, he still figures to allow baserunners frequently. Furthermore, I have to see Gordon succeed in the MLB before I can trust him. I’m expecting runs in this game; let’s take the over. 

Rockies vs Astros prediction: Over 8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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