Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/03/26

The Boston Red Sox won the first 2 games of the post-Alex Cora era, giving their fans hope that a new manager bump could elevate them over the remainder of the season. It lasted only 2 games, though, as Boston fell back into their losing ways by dropping 3 of the past 4. The Red Sox did take 1 game off the Houston Astros on Friday night, with the Astros returning the favor on Saturday to set up a rubber match on Sunday afternoon. Houston sends Cody Bolton to the mound as an opener for that matchup, while the Red Sox counter with Ranger Suarez.

Bolton has a 5.79 ERA to start the year for the Astros, which, ironically, is the same as his overall ERA over his 4 seasons in the majors. After starting his first 2 outings of the season, Bolton is now in an opener role, where he allowed 2 earned runs in 1 inning in his first time trying it out, and then allowed another earned run when he came back into the role 18 days later. Boston will need to jump on Bolton early, as coming in behind him will be Kai-Wei Teng, who is in the middle of a massive bounce-back season with a 2.75 ERA and a .275 opponents’ wOBA.

Suarez had a tough start to the year, but has pitched shutouts in 3 of his past 4 outings. His start against the New York Yankees saw him give up 4 earned runs in 4.2 innings, but in the other 3 starts, he surrendered zero earned runs over 22 innings, allowing just 6 hits and striking out 20. With Teng and Suarez pitching the bulk of this game against 2 offenses that have been inconsistent, it’s hard not to take the under here.

Astros vs Red Sox prediction: Under 8.5 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to 8. 

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