Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 05/05/26

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to bounce back after a 5-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Offensively, the Blue Jays are avenging 4.3 runs per game and hitting .242 in their last 10 games. For the Rays, they’re averaging 3.6 runs per game and are hitting .242 in that same span. Taking the mound for Toronto will be Kevin Gausman who is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP through seven starts. Gausman is coming off his worst start of the season against the Twins where he allowed four runs on four hits in 5.2 innings pitched. For the Rays, Drew Rasmussen will get the nod, entering at 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. 

Despite the Blue Jays hitting the ball slightly better than the Rays over their last ten games, these two teams are fairly close on the season. The Blue Jays have struggled on the road this year, going 6-11, while the Rays have been terrific at home holding a 12-4 record. It’s also worth noting the Rays hold a 1.20 ERA in their last 10 games and have won nine of their last 10 games. For Toronto, they hold a 3.41 team ERA in that same span and have won six of their last 10. While both pitchers have had a great start to the season, I like the Rays in this spot. Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have been red hot for Tampa Bay. Aranda is hitting .356 with four home runs and 12 RBIs in his last 13 games, while Caminero is hitting .273 with four home runs and six RBIs in that same span. With strong pitching and a strong hitting core, the Rays should be able to shut down a struggling Blue Jays team and pick up another win at home.

Blue Jays vs Rays prediction: Rays ML (-130) at the time of publishing. Playable up to -145.