Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and NBA Playoffs Game 4 Picks for Today, 04/25/26

Aaron Gordon was a late scratch for the Nuggets right before Game 3 and it completely disrupted their gameplan, resulting in a 113-96 defeat. It was a wire-to-wire defeat, something we rarely see happen to Nikola Jokic and his team. Speaking of the 3-time MVP, he had a game to forget going just 7-for-26 from the field and dishing out just 3 assists. There is very little time to feel sorry for themselves, the Nuggets have to re-group quickly if they want to avoid going down 3-1 in this series. Gordon’s calf injury isn’t severe so he should be able to return for Saturday’s game, I don’t believe Denver stands a chance without him in this game.

Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels stole the show for Minnesota in Game 2, combining for 45 points on 19-for-27 from the field. Rudy Gobert also had a dominant showing on defense, grabbing 12 boards and blocking 3 shots while also slowing down the Joker. Anthony Edwards appeared to have injured his knee in the 4th quarter and left the game, his status is up in the air for Game 4. When Ant Man doesn’t play Minnesota’s offensive rating drops by 2.6 points per 100 possessions, however their defense improves by 5.5 points. I’d take those numbers with a grain of salt, after all these are the Playoffs and you really want to have your best players at your disposal to give yourself the best chance of winning.

Denver cannot afford to lose here, going down 3-1 would be a disaster as only a handful of teams in NBA history have come back from that deficit. Aaron Gordon should return, this is exactly the situation Denver was in last season vs the Clippers Round 1 after 3 games. They responded with a massive win in Game 4, I expect them to play a methodical game and slow things down substantially on Saturday. After all this is a championship contender and moments like these are what define a champion. Back Denver to cover.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction: Denver -1.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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