Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/09/26

Stop busting brackets and sign up for the Pickswise March Madness Premium Picks now! Our expert is up +30.7 units over the last 3 NCAA Tournaments and picked Florida at +4000 last year. Get futures picks and daily best bets throughout the entire tournament, all for just $50. Click here to join and get 20% off before Selection Sunday!

Time is slowly running out for the Nuggets, who are desperately trying to solidify their starting unit in these remaining 20 or so games of the regular season. Aaron Gordon coming back means that they are back to full strength — that is if Jamal Murray is able to play following his ankle twist in the loss to the Knicks. The Nuggets got blown out by 39 points, but we can give them some leeway considering it was the second night of a back-to-back scenario. Monday’s meetings with the Thunder will be their third this season. The Nuggets are yet to against SGA and company, with the latest meeting ending in a 6-point road defeat in overtime.

The defending champs have similar issues, but — unlike the Nuggets — it hasn’t affected their ability to win games at all. They enter Monday’s affair on a 5-game winning streak, and the defense has really excelled in their last 4 games — holding opponents to just 97,100, 108 and 87 points. However, I still advise caution given that Isaiah Hartenstein and Jalen Williams have already been ruled out, while Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren are both questionable. From a bettors’ perspective, backing the Thunder hasn’t been all that joyful. They have failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games overall, while at home they are just 15-18 ATS in 33 games so far.

There’s pressure on both teams given their situations in the standings, but I would argue there’s slightly more on the Nuggets — who just fell to sixth after the Lakers won on Sunday. Gordon coming back is a plus, and the team will only get better once he returns to his pre-injury form. I just feel like these 2 teams are too evenly matched for one side to win 3 straight meetings between them. Give me a Nuggets upset.

Nuggets vs Thunder prediction: Denver ML (+230) available at time of publishing. Playable at that price.

If you’re looking for a new sportsbook, we recommend checking out Fanatics Sportsbook. New users can get $100 FanCash bet matches on their first 10 wagers! Join Fanatics Sportsbook, where you can bet on our Nuggets vs Thunder predictions.