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Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and NBA Playoffs Game 5 Picks for Today, 04/27/26

Ball ArenaNBC
Timberwolves
3-1
Timberwolves
Today
Nuggets
1-3
Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
DEN Nuggets -10.5(-110)

The Minnesota Timberwolves head into Game 5 with a 3-1 series lead over the Denver Nuggets, but the momentum of the series shifted dramatically after Game 4. Minnesota secured a 112-96 win behind a dominant second half, capitalizing on strong defensive stretches and balanced scoring to take control. Despite solid performances from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, Denver struggled to match Minnesota’s energy and execution late. However, the Timberwolves’ win came at a major cost, as Anthony Edwards exited with a knee injury and is expected to miss Game 5, removing their primary offensive engine and late game shot creator. It doesn’t get any better because sharpshooter Donte Divincenzo suffered an achilles tear as well.

That absences fundamentally reshapes this matchup as the series returns to Denver, where the Nuggets now face elimination. Without Edwards, Minnesota will need to rely heavily on secondary scorers to replicate the production that fueled their Game 4 victory—an outcome that feels difficult to sustain under playoff pressure. Denver, meanwhile, is in a clear desperation spot with its season on the line and should respond with increased urgency, leaning on Jokic’s playmaking and Murray’s scoring to dictate tempo. While Minnesota has shown it can compete on the road in this series, the loss of its top option significantly lowers its offensive ceiling. With home court, experience, and a weakened opponent, this sets up as a strong bounce back opportunity for Denver to regain control and win convincingly.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 4 prediction: Nuggets -10.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -11.5.

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Justin Ziolkowski
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Justin Ziolkowski

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