New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/25/26

Few series illustrate the roller coaster that is the NBA playoffs more than what we’ve seen in this Eastern Conference matchup between the Knicks and Hawks over the last week. After a relatively routine Game 1 victory, New York has dropped back-to-back games by 1 point apiece, making the Knicks the first team in NBA history to lose by 1 point in regulation in consecutive playoff games. It happened in different ways too, as the Knicks blew a double-digit 4th quarter lead in Game 2 at Madison Square Garden while registering their lowest single quarter point total of the season (15) in that final period. We saw the inverse happen in Game 3, with New York rallying from a 19-point second half deficit, only to surrender a late 3-point lead and lose in the final seconds once again. Things can’t get much worse for New York on paper, but considering that it took a pair of extremely poor games for the Knicks to be trailing in this series, there is a reasonable argument to be made that we’ll see a bounce-back effort from Jalen Brunson and company in Game 4.

Not only are the Hawks coming off a game in which they shot 40% from beyond the arc, but Atlanta also got some unlikely shooting from the likes of Jonathan Kuminga, Dyson Daniels and even backup center Mouhamed Gueye. It’s reasonable to suggest that Atlanta won’t knock down 40% of its threes in Game 4, while the Knicks should be due for a bit of positive regression following a 10-of-35 effort (28%) from beyond the arc in Game 3. Furthermore, New York has been able to win the battle on the glass in each of the first 3 games, which bodes well for the shot volume battle in a game where every possession matters down the stretch. Head coach Mike Brown has stated that he’s going to change up the lineup combinations in this game, which should give his bench units a slight upper hand before Quin Snyder and his staff are able to read and react. As long as New York is able to keep dominating inside with Karl-Anthony Towns, while also making the necessary adjustments to make things a bit easier for Brunson and company on the perimeter, New York’s offense should lead the way en route to a series-tying victory.

Knicks vs Hawks prediction: Knicks ML (-125) available at time of publishing. Playable to -135.

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