San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 05/10/26

The Minnesota Timberwolves will try to avoid a 3-1 series deficit when they host the San Antonio Spurs Sunday night. The Spurs have won two straight games in this series including a blowout 38 point win in game two and a 115-108 win in game three. Victor Wembanyama has only gotten better as the series has gone on. He is coming off his best game of the series, scoring 39 points on 13/18 shooting. He also added 15 rebounds and 5 blocks. It doesn’t matter if the Wolves have had Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, or Julius Randle guarding Wembanyama, regardless he has looked unaffected by Minnesota’s defensive efforts. The Timberwolves started slow in game three, missing their first ten shots and only scoring one point in the first seven minutes, but they eventually adjusted and kept this game close throughout. Anthony Edwards continues to play through injuries to both knees. It was the first game of the series he was in the starting lineup and he scored 32 points in 41 minutes played. With Edwards only playing an average of 24.5 minutes in the first two games, game three was by far the most minutes he has logged this series and could play a factor depending on how his knees respond to the high usage night. If the Timberwolves want to succeed in game four, they will need better performances from Randle and McDaniels. They combined to shoot 8 for 34 from the field in game three and were -11 and -15 in plus/minus, the two worst on the team. These two play their best when they can get two feet in the paint and score with their size and length. It is hard to foresee an adjustment they can make when Wembanyama is constantly patrolling the basket and deflecting shots. The Timberwolves are certainly a team you can never count out, but I think the Spurs smell blood in the water. I’ll back the Spurs to find a way to win and earn a chance to close out this series in front of their hometown crowd in game five.

Spurs -4.5 is available at the time of publishing. Playable at -5.5.