2022 NFL preview: Kansas City Chiefs futures, Super Bowl odds, predictions and best bets

Photo of Keith


NFL · 1 month ago

Show Bio

A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat free plus odds picks.

The Kansas City Chiefs have established a dynasty in the AFC West with 6 consecutive titles. However, the division grew stronger this offseason with the Denver Broncos upgrading at quarterback, the Chargers strengthening their defense and the Raiders bringing in more offensive weapons. And the most notable move by the Chiefs this offseason was trading away Tyreek Hill. Are the Chiefs on their way to their 7th division title? Or could the dynasty be over?

Kansas City Chiefs breakdown

2021 record: 12-5

2021 ATS record: 8-9

2021 O/U record: 10-7

Key players in: Ronald Jones (RB) Jerick McKinnon (RB), Corey Coleman (WR), JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR), Justin Reid (S)

Key players out: Darrel Williams (RB), Tyreek Hill (WR), Byron Pringle (WR), Demarcus Robinson (WR), Mike Remmers (OT), Kyle Long (OG)

2022 Draft class: Trent McDuffie (CB), George Karlaftis (DE), Skyy Moore (WR), Bryan Cook (S), Leo Chenal (LB), Joshua Williams (CB), Darian Kinnard (G), Jaylen Watson (CB), Isiah Pacheco (RB), Nazeeh Johnson (CB)

Kansas City Chiefs 2022 NFL season odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl odds

The Chiefs have 4th-best odds to win Super Bowl 57  at +1000.

Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship odds

Kansas City is the 2nd favorite to win the AFC at +600, only trailing the Buffalo Bills at +300.

Kansas City Chiefs AFC West odds

The Chiefs are the favorites to win the AFC West division with +175 odds, but the Chargers are close behind at +220.

Kansas City Chiefs win total odds

The Chiefs’ win total is set at 10.5, with -115 odds on them to win 11 or more games in the 2022 NFL season and -105 for them to win 10 or fewer games. They are -210 to make the playoffs and +170 to miss out.

Head to our NFL Odds page for odds on all the main NFL betting markets

Kansas City Chiefs schedule 2022

at Arizona Cardinals, September 11
vs San Diego Chargers, September 15
at Indianapolis Colts, September 25

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, October 2
vs Las Vegas Raiders, October 10
vs Buffalo Bills, October 16
at San Francisco 49ers, October 23

vs Tennessee Titans, November 6
vs Jacksonville Jaguars, November 13
at Los Angeles Chargers, November 20
vs Los Angeles Rams, November 27

at Cincinnati Bengals, December 4
at Denver Broncos, December 11
at Houston Texans, December 18
vs Seattle Seahawks, December 24

vs Denver Broncos, January 1
at Las Vegas Raiders, January 8

We’ll have NFL picks for EVERY matchup of the 2022 season

Kansas City Chiefs 2021 season recap

Since the Patrick Mahomes era began, it has become normal to expect the Chiefs to have a good season and make a playoff run. But to everyone’s surprise, Kansas City started the 2021 season 3-4, and Mahomes did not look himself. His incompletion rate was the highest of his career, he was throwing more interceptions and he seemed off with his receivers. However, it was only a matter of time before Mahomes went back to who he was and took the Chiefs out of a 3-4 hole and brought them one win away from the Super Bowl. Kansas City finished the regular season on a 9-1 run and looked like the best team in football during that 10-game span. That marked the 6th consecutive year the Chiefs were crowned AFC West Champions.

Read our Super Bowl 57 predictions and best bets, including a +4500 longshot

Kansas City Chiefs 2022 NFL season predictions

First off, the elephant in the room. The fastest receiver in football and one of Mahomes’ favorite targets, Tyreek Hill, was traded to the Miami Dolphins. In a shocking move that sent five draft picks back to Kansas City, Mahomes lost a valuable weapon on offense. It won’t be easy to replace Hill, but Kansas City brought in JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling and drafted speedy receiver Skyy Moore from Western Michigan.

Compared to the rest of the AFC West, the Chiefs’ offseason was lackluster. The Broncos acquired Russell Wilson, the Raiders acquired Davante Adams, and the Chargers brought in J.C. Jackson and Khalil Mack. Even with the AFC West becoming one of the strongest divisions in football, Kansas City still has one of the best quarterbacks in the game, an above-average receiving group, and the best tight end in the league.

Best bet: Kansas City Chiefs win AFC West (+175)

It should be a close race between the Chiefs and Chargers for the AFC West in 2022, but the Chiefs can continue their dynasty for another year. Both offenses are very similar, but the Chiefs have a slight advantage with Travis Kelce. The defenses are very similar, and it’s hard to confidently say one is better than the other. However, the Chargers don’t have Mahomes. Don’t get me wrong, Herbert is an excellent quarterback and will likely throw for 4,600+ yards again in 2022. But the Bolts always seem to falter towards the end of the season, and that is when Mahomes and the Chiefs are at their best. Their dynasty in the AFC West may be starting to crumble, but it’s not falling apart just yet.

Kansas City Chiefs season record predictions

The Chiefs have a difficult schedule in 2022, but that shouldn’t stop them from going 12-5. It’s possible for them to go 13-6 if they win a toss-up game or win more games in their division than expected. However, 12 wins is the safer bet. I expect another dominant season in Kansas City en route to their 7th straight AFC West title.

Check out our best bets to win the AFC this season

Pickswise is the home of free expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2022 NFL season.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.



Bet $5+ on any NFL Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any NFL pre-game ML

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS


Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.