NFL Futures

The home of all things NFL Futures. Here at Pickswise, we are always looking one step ahead, and from the outset, there are a whole host of NFL Futures markets our expert handicappers can get researching. We preview all of the top season-long NFL Futures bets with full analysis alongside our NFL MVP Predictions, AFC Championship Predictions, NFC Championship Predictions, and a whole lot more. Check out the latest NFL Futures Odds below, along with our expert analysis and best NFL Future Bets.

Want even more NFL Futures news, analysis, and picks? Be sure to check out the Pickswise Super HUB for our best Super Bowl Predictions, including our Super Bowl Prop Bets, and all of the latest Super Bowl Odds.

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NFL Futures, Steelers Regular Season Wins

Reasoning

The Pittsburgh Steelers face the toughest schedule in 2021 according to our strength of schedule calculations based on regular-season win totals.

Ben Roethlisberger is another year older and father time looked like it caught upon him during the backend of last season. Big Ben tossed 10 picks in seven games. The Steeler’s offense will also see a change in some key areas. Matt Canada replaces Randy Fichtner as offensive coordinator. Nine-time Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey has retired and will be replaced by rookie Kendrick Green. They will also likely start rookie running back Najee Harris.

The Steelers are likely to see some regression in 2021. They won 12 games last year but should have only 10 if you look at their underlying numbers with the Pythagorean theorem. They were also +9 in turnover differential and 7-2 in one-score games.

NFL Futures, Saints Regular Season Wins

Reasoning

This bet is fairly straightforward- I don’t trust either quarterback to get nine wins against a tough schedule next season.

The Saints face the fourth-toughest overall schedule and although Sean Payton is a great coach I think this offense is missing a few pieces to win that many games. I wasn’t impressed by Taysom Hill in his three starts last year and I don’t think anyone can trust Jameis to get above nine wins at this moment in time.

Michael Thomas was injured for most of 2020 and they’ve lost two of their most productive pass catchers from last year. Emmanuel Sanders is now with the Buffalo Bills and Jared Cook is with the Chargers. The lack of depth at receiver is a big concern and Kamara had a huge workload last season, is that sustainable at his position?

The Saints should regress in turnovers (+9) and they were 5-3 in one-score games.

 

NFL Futures, Chiefs to go 17-0

Reasoning

The Chiefs have more potential for dominance. They slacked off a bit during the regular season last year, and even while not playing up to their standards they still went 14-2. One of those losses was in a meaningless Week 17 game where they rested Mahomes, so they actually went 14-1 in games they tried to win. The one real defeat was by one score in a shootout against the Raiders.

Unlike the Buccaneers, the Chiefs were aggressive in remaking their roster this offseason. They completely overhauled their offensive line, making Joe Thuney the highest paid guard in the league. They lured Kyle Long out of retirement. Traded for a stud left tackle in Orlando Brown Jr. You get the picture. Kansas City’s only real (relative) weakness has now been addressed, and then some.

Mahomes should now have one of the best offensive lines in the league protecting him, which is a scary thought for the rest of the NFL. They’ll likely be favorites in every game, and if the defense continues to make strides they should at least make this interesting.

NFL Futures, DET Lions to go 0-17

Reasoning

The first year of the Dan Campbell era in Detroit isn’t expected to start off with a bang. Detroit traded away Matthew Stafford this offseason, and will be rolling with Jared Goff in 2021. They also hired Anthony Lynn to be their offensive coordinator, signaling they intend to go with an old school run-first approach. Stafford wasn’t the only significant departure on offense, as they also let Kenny Golladay walk in free agency.

The Lions went 5-11 last year, and that was with Stafford starting all 16 games. The downgrade under center is immense, and if they start with a few losses things could snowball out of control. They open the season with games against the 49ers, Packers, and Ravens, a brutal draw assuming Aaron Rodgers stays in Green Bay.

We’re about to find out what Goff looks like without Sean McVay, and it probably won’t be pretty. Stafford has been the only thing keeping that team afloat, and with Lynn running the offense the floor will be very low.

NFL Futures, Chicago Bears Week 1 starting quarterback
NFL Futures Pick
Justin Fields
Odds
Bonus

Reasoning

The Chicago Bears brought in veteran QB Andy Dalton this offseason and even went as far as announcing him as QB1 ahead of the draft, but then they took Justin Fields with the 11th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. While they haven’t retracted that Dalton is their QB1, I wouldn’t be shocked if we do in fact see Fields light up training camp and force Matt Nagy’s hand.

Getting Fields at 11 could end up being the steal of the draft and in a year where Matt Nagy’s job is likely on the line, I’m not sure he can play it safe with the experienced Dalton who failed to get anything going on a better Dallas Cowboys team last season.

In Nagy’s final year as offensive coordinator in Kansas City, the Chiefs had drafted and sat Patrick Mahomes behind Alex Smith, a luxury that Nagy would love to have here with Fields in Chicago, but it’s simply a luxury he doesn’t have. I’m riding with Fields to show enough to secure the Week 1 starting role at +200.

NFL Futures, Denver Broncos Week 1 starting quarterback
NFL Futures Pick
Drew Lock
Odds
Bonus

Reasoning

Unless the Broncos can pull off the biggest offseason move and make something happen with the Packers to land league MVP Aaron Rodgers, the 2021 QB competition in Denver looks set to be between Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater.

The Broncos traded for Teddy Bridgewater ahead of the draft to add competition, experience, and a veteran presence to the Broncos’ quarterback room, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the Broncos are out on Drew Lock — not yet, anyway.

One of the biggest reasons for the Broncos to stick with Lock over Teddy is his athleticism and upside. Lock is bigger, faster, and certainly has a stronger arm than Bridgewater, and while this hasn’t always resulted in success for Lock, with 15 interceptions and 8 fumbles in 2020, Bridgewater wasn’t as safe with the ball as he often gets painted as being, with 11 interceptions and 6 fumbles of his own.

The Broncos also brought back Pat Shurmur as offensive coordinator for some continuity, and there wouldn’t be much continuity without Lock returning as the starter. I’m surprised the odds have Lock and Teddy so close, with FanDuel having them both at +145, and I think there is value there in taking Lock to be the Week 1 starter with Rodgers likely staying put in Green Bay.

NFL Futures, Trevor Lawrence passing yards

Reasoning

Before you are left open-mouthed by this huge number, keep in mind that the NFL season has expanded to 17 games from 16. That makes Lawrence’s quota of 4,150.5 passing yards at least somewhat understandable — but you still have to like the under. The former Clemson standout would have to average more than 244 yards per game, and that’s even if he stays healthy for all 17 weeks. In a Jacksonville Jaguars offense led by head coach Urban Meyer and Darrell Bevell that will probably feature a run-first mentality, soaring way over the 4,000-yard mark will be difficult. Also, note the fact that Jacksonville’s 2021 opponents include the AFC East and NFC West. There are some stout defenses in that lineup, especially when it comes to stopping the pass.

NFL Futures, Zach Wilson interceptions

Reasoning

Whereas Trevor Lawrence often played against the best of the best during his college, Wilson was stuck on an independent team trying — and often failing — to find worthwhile opponents. Facing the likes of the Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, and New England Patriots twice in a season is going to be a whole different beast. Although Wilson threw only 15 total interceptions in his three-year college career, nine of those came in nine games during the 2019 campaign. He can make mistakes — and probably will on an offense that is still many pieces away from being good.

NFL Futures, To win the Super Bowl
NFL Futures Pick
Baltimore Ravens
Odds
Bonus

Reasoning

The Ravens have disappointed in the playoffs for the past couple of years, which has created some value. Baltimore has been a consistent regular-season winner, and I don’t think the Browns are about to overtake them in the AFC North. Fade the Cleveland hype.

Lamar Jackson was the unanimous MVP a couple of seasons ago for a reason. He’s going to enter 2021 with a big chip on his shoulder thanks to their postseason letdowns, which is a scary thought for the rest of the league. The Ravens, not the Bills, can be the biggest threat to the Chiefs in the AFC.

NFL Futures, To win the Super Bowl
NFL Futures Pick
Kansas City Chiefs
Odds
Bonus

Reasoning

Kansas City has won the AFC in back-to-back years, and they would’ve won it in 2018 too if not for a Dee Ford offsides penalty. I don’t see any reason to believe they’ll be worse than last year, and in fact they could be a good amount better.

The Chiefs have completely overhauled their offensive line, ensuring Patrick Mahomes won’t be running for his life like he was in the Super Bowl. Not counting Week 17, when they rested their starters, the Chiefs lost only one regular-season game last year.

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NFL Futures

Super Bowl LVI Odds

2022 NFL MVP Odds


What Are NFL Futures Bets 

Another great way to wager on the NFL is through the futures markets and playoff predictions. The NFL Futures markets, as their name may suggest, offer longevity, with an entire season or remainder of the season still to play for depending on when you bet on them.  Where a straight wager or a weekly NFL Parlay Bet, is all over in a day, NFL Futures allow you to bet on a season-long bet and root for it for multiple weeks, providing everything goes to plan.

The most popular NFL futures bets include team-based futures and player-based futures. Team-based NFL futures will include winning it all with Super Bowl bets, as well as NFL Division Winners and NFL Conference Winners, or even an over/under on a team’s season win total.

Player-based NFL futures are a bit more individual, betting on a player’s season performance, through either stat leaders, such as most passing, rushing or receiving yards, or to scoop a prize at the NFL honors such as MVP, Offensive Rookie of The Year or Comeback Player of the year to name a few. 

Before the 2021/22 NFL season kicks off we’ll preview all of the top futures markets, while also closely monitoring the NFL week to week to highlight the best NFL futures bets as the season progresses and the playoff picture begins to take shape.

How To Bet On NFL Futures

Betting on NFL futures is just as simple as any other wager type. Simply head to your favorite sportsbook, and click on the NFL tab to find all of the current NFL markets available. The majority of online sportsbooks will either have an NFL futures section or possibly refer to the Futures markets as Outright Markets, click whichever of these they use and you’ll find a list of odds for the available NFL futures markets. Depending on the time of the year you’ll find odds on everything from the Super Bowl Odds, to Division and Conference winner odds and a variety of player stats and player awards odds.

Simply add the NFL futures picks you want to bet on and it’ll add it to your bet slip, add your desired stake, and hit place bet and that’s it, you’ve locked in your NFL futures bet.

New to betting? Or unsure which is the best sportsbook in your state? Head to our Online Sportsbook Reviews for all the need-to-know information about each of the leading sportsbooks in your state. 

NFL Futures – 2021 AFC & NFC Championship Predictions

You can bet on NFL Conference futures bets both on the AFC Championship and NFC Championship Winners pretty much from Super Bowl to Super Bowl. Bettors may opt to bet on a team to win their conferences rather than the Super Bowl as a safer option if they’re confident in having found the best team in the AFC or NFC or if they’re looking to hedge a Super Bowl Pick. Our expert NFL handicappers will be on hand ahead of the 2021/22 NFL season to preview both NFL conferences and break down the contenders and best NFL Conference Futures bets heading into the season. 

NFL Futures – 2021 NFL Division Predictions

Similar to the NFL Conference Futures, the NFL Division Futures is another way to have a season-long bet on a team you like to win their division. Some divisions will have short odds favorites like the Kansas City Chiefs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills will be minus-money favorites, but picking against these or in the more competitive NFL divisions such as the AFC North, AFC South or the NFC West can provide big odds winners year on year. Our expert NFL handicappers will be on hand ahead of the 2021/22 NFL season to preview all eight of the NFL divisions, the contenders, and the best NFL Division Futures bets heading into the season.

2021 NFL Award Predictions

NFL Awards are a talking point amongst experts and fans alike throughout the entire NFL season. The main NFL Honors Awards will be available to bet on at the top sportsbooks, with odds available on markets such as NFL MVP, NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, NFL Comeback Player of the Year, and many more throughout the season. Our expert NFL handicappers preview all of the top NFL player awards markets, making their predictions on the best value plays on each. We’ll look at previous awards trends, stats, positions, schedule, and more to determine our NFL Award Predictions. 

2021 NFL MVP Odds & NFL MVP Predictions

The biggest and most talked-about award of the NFL season is by some way the NFL MVP Odds and contenders. In a true team sport, everyone wants to chase the biggest of all personal accolades, and many NFL fans and bettors will get in on the action too. The NFL MVP race is one that has been dominated by quarterbacks, with only Adrian Peterson in 2007, and LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006 the two non-quarterback winning MVP’s in the last 15-years. The NFL MVP Odds will reflect this and be quarterback top-heavy and our NFL experts will break down all the front-runners, best NFL MVP Odds and even those longshot sprinkle plays in the NFL MVP race.

NFL Futures Player Stats Predictions

Aside from the awards, the other way to wager on NFL Player Futures bets is through stats-based performance measurables. These can either be to lead the league in a certain category such as Passing Yards, Rushing Yards, Receiving Yards, or in Interceptions or Sacks. Each stat category will be priced by all the leading sportsbooks and our NFL Futures Player Stat Predictions will analyze the best NFL Player Stats Predictions ahead of the 2021 season. You can also wager on over/under markets for individual players in similar categories such as passing, rushing, or receiving yard categories.