Week 17 began with a bang as the Jets and Browns ran up the score in an unexpected shootout. The next game of the week is on Saturday night between the Lions and Cowboys in Dallas, but after that, it’s an action-packed slate on Sunday. I’ve focused on the player prop market for this week’s slate and I’ve found four best bets for Sunday. Also, check out our NFL Week 17 predictions.
Kyren Williams (LAR) Over 91.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
Kyren Williams has become an auto tail for me. The Notre Dame alum has had a breakout season and has been a crucial part of the Rams’ success. Williams has passed 100 rushing yards in 6 of the last 8 games and 4 of the 5 games since returning from his injury. The only time that Williams did not go over 100 yards in that 5-game span was when he recorded 88 yards against the Browns, who boast one of the best run defenses in the league. And while Cleveland ranks in the top 10 in rushing yards per game, the Giants allow the 4th most. Plus, I’m expecting the Rams to be winning by several scores in the second half which means Williams will get plenty of opportunities to run out the clock.
George Kittle (SF) Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
I’m expecting a masterclass performance from Brock Purdy this week. After a nightmare performance on Christmas, Purdy gets to face one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Week 17. It’s the perfect opportunity for Purdy to silence the doubters and run up the score. One of the benefactors of Purdy having a good game should be the tight end, George Kittle. Kittle has become a serious threat in the receiving game and has recorded at least 52 yards in 4 straight games and 8 of the last 9 games. Just last week, Kittle hauled in 126 yards against an elite Baltimore defense. I’m expecting Kittle to finish with around 5 catches for about 70 yards in the Nation’s Capital.
Check out our San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders predictions
Stefon Diggs (BUF) Under 68.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
It’s been a weird season for Stefon Diggs. Josh Allen’s favorite target had 100 receiving yards in 5 of the first 6 games of the season, but it’s been a rapid decline ever since. Diggs has topped 80 yards just once since Week 7, and a lot of that is due to the decrease in targets. He averaged 11.25 targets per game from Week 1 to Week 8, but he’s seen just 7.85 targets per game from Week 9 to Week 17. Fewer targets have equated to fewer yards, and I’m not expecting that to change against a solid Patriots defense. In Week 7, Diggs finished with just 58 yards on 6 catches in New England.
Baker Mayfield (TB) Over 228.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
Has Tampa Bay found their franchise quarterback? Baker Mayfield has quietly been one of the better quarterbacks in football this season, and if you were to put his season stats next to Patrick Mahomes’, you might be surprised by what you see. In the last 3 weeks, Mayfield has thrown for 808 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. The former Heisman Trophy winner will take on a Saints defense that has faced some below-average quarterbacks recently, but against Matthew Stafford last week, the New Orleans defense crumbled. Stafford finished with 328 passing yards and 2 touchdowns. It won’t get any easier for the Saints with a red-hot Mayfield at home in Week 17.
Check out our New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions
