Patriots vs Bears Same Game Parlay: Best SGP Picks

Week 7 of the NFL season kicks off with Thursday Night Football between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The Patriots (4-2) have recovered from a slow start to win three games in a row, while Caleb Williams is back for the Bears (4-2) and promptly led them to a dominant win in Atlanta this past weekend.

I cashed a pair of Week 4 Same Game Parlays (+750 on TNF for Steelers vs Browns and +650 on MNF for Falcons vs Saints) before striking again at +700 on MNF in Week 5 (Bills vs Rams). Let's keep the momentum going with my Patriots vs Bears SGP for TNF, which gets underway at 8:15 PM ET live on Amazon Prime Video. You can find out the rest of our NFL picks for Week 7 and every game throughout the 2026 NFL season.

Patriots ML (+130) 

Rhamondre Stevenson to record 50+ rushing yards (+133) 

Rome Odunze Over 44.5 receiving yards (-115) 

Patriots vs Bears Same Game Parlay odds: +600 

Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as New England running back Rhamondre Stevenson racking up his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a Patriots victory. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Chicago wide receiver Rome Odunze to have a productive night. But even if he does, there is no reason why the visitors can’t prevail. Let’s break down each of the three legs.  

Patriots vs Bears Same Game Parlay Pick: Patriots ML over Bears (+130) 

Drake Maye and the Patriots have heated up in a big way. Maye threw all over the Bills, Raiders and Jets in the past three weeks, racking up 878 yards and 10 touchdowns while getting intercepted just once. That has also opened things up for the running game, to which the former North Carolina standout also contributes (138 rushing yards so far in 2026).

Thursday night’s road assignment certainly isn’t an easy one, but it’s one the Pats can win and maintain momentum. Their offense is now holding up its end of the bargain and their defense continues to cook. It is a unit that is holding opponents to only 18.8 points and 300.8 yards per game, both top-six marks in the NFL. New England’s defense also ranks in the top 11 on third downs, in preventing explosive plays and in the red zone. Of these two teams, the visitors clearly bring a superior defense to the table.

Chicago is by no means terrible in that department, but isn’t good against the run. If you aren’t controlling the line of scrimmage against New England, bad things usually happen. The Pats have given up only two sacks over the last three weeks. All things considered, the value in this one is on the underdogs.

Find out pro NFL bettor Chris Farley's Patriots vs Bears predictions for TNF - he's up +16.3 units this season!

Patriots vs Bears SGP Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson to Record 50+ Rushing Yards (+133) 

Stevenson has a favorable matchup on his hands against a Chicago defense that is surrendering 4.5 yards per carry. The Oklahoma product has reached the 50-yard mark twice this season, including a 64-yard effort in Week 5 against Las Vegas. Stevenson has gotten at least 13 carries in three consecutive contests after rushing 18 times in the season opener. By contrast, backfield mate TreVeyon Henderson went from having at least 14 attempts in two of his 13 games to getting a total of 11 carries in the last two weeks combined. 

Patriots vs Bears SGP Pick: Rome Odunze Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115) 

Odunze has been kept under the 40-yard mark just once this year; he has not finished a single game with fewer than 39 yards. Asking for at least 45 should not be too much against the Patriots, who are better against the run (91.8 yards per game on 3.9 yards per carry) than they are against the pass.

New England cornerback Christian Gonzalez may be covering Odunze some of the time, but Gonzalez will probably also be assigned to Luther Burden III given Burden’s recent emergence. That could open things up for Odunze. I have relatively high expectations for both receivers on Thursday, but the value is on Odunze given that LB3’s quota is 13 yards higher at 57.5.