Best player prop bets for Sunday's NBA slate: Theis can shine bright against the Suns

Boston Celtics center Daniel Theis (27) blocks a shot by Golden State Warriors forward Juan Toscano-Anderson (95) during the second quarter at Chase Center.
Photo of Andrew Wilsher

Andrew Wilsher

NBA · 1 year ago

Show Bio

Editor of Pickswise. Born and raised in jolly old London, England, with an undying love for the NFL, NBA, soccer, and horse racing. A big-time sports bettor who loves futures markets and backing underdogs. Long-suffering New York Jets fan.

What better way to kick off  Super Bowl Sunday than with some early NBA action full of enticing player props? The NBA has always been a star-driven league, but today I’ve shifted my attention to a pair of key role players that I believe are being overlooked.

Before we dive in, I’d like to thank everyone who read and shared my debut article with Pickswise. I couldn’t have asked for a better start after going 2-0 on my first two picks, and it was great to see Germantas Kneita go 3-1 with his player props on the site yesterday, including a +270 win on Steph Curry that wound up being incredibly comfortable. Make sure you’re checking Pickswise every day for some solid player props and also our full-game previews for each matchup in today’s five-game slate.

Now that we’ve gotten that away, let’s get down to brass tacks. Below, I have laid out two prop bets that I’m playing, my analysis for each bet, and why I feel they are undervalued.

Cody Zeller Over 11.5 Assists + Rebounds (-104)

After fracturing his left hand in the Hornets’ season opener, Cody Zeller was forced to miss nearly a month of action. Since returning to the lineup, the former Hoosier has seen his minutes increase and has responded by stuffing the stat sheet across multiple categories.

Over Zeller’s last six games he has averaged 10.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists over 30 minutes of action. The versatile center has eclipsed the 11.5 total in four of those games, with both misses coming in blowout losses that saw him riding pine for the duration 4th quarter.

Zeller faces off against a Washington Wizards team that gives up the third-most rebounds and the ninth-most assists to opposing centers. The Wizards have allowed five opposing centers to go over this total in their last seven games, with combined totals of 14.5 rebounds and assists. The two misses were DeAndre Jordan, who logged only 18 minutes but finished with 10 assists and rebounds, and Bam Adebayo, who ended up with seven assists and rebounds in a blowout victory.

Another aspect of this play that I love is the pace that these teams have been playing. While the Hornets rank only 19th on the season in possessions per game, they’ve been a top-three team since LaMelo Ball has assumed starting point guard duties. Meanwhile, the Wizards have led the league in this category all season. More possessions equal more rebounding and assist opportunities in what should be an extremely up-tempo game.

With a 235.5 projected total and Zeller starting to really hit his stride, I like him to flirt with double-digit rebounds and a handful of assists.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Washington Wizards vs. Charlotte Hornets.

Daniel Theis Over 17.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-118)

As somewhat of a forgotten man in the Celtics’ star-studded offense, Daniel Theis has developed into a versatile player who contributes across multiple categories. The undrafted German has seen his role grow of late, as the Celtics deal with a number of injuries to key players.

Theis has gone over this total in five of his last seven games played. His only misses being a game against the Spurs that saw him log a season-low in minutes, and two nights ago against the Clippers after an injury forced him to depart in the first quarter. It appears the Celtics were merely being cautious with Theis as he isn’t listed on the injury report ahead of today’s game versus Phoenix.

The Suns have allowed 12 of the last 13 opposing centers they’ve faced to go over this total. The single miss was Kevon Looney who played 16 minutes in a blowout loss. With Jaylon Brown and Marcus Smart on the shelf, and Kemba Walker still being eased into action, I believe the Celtics will need some additional scoring out of Theis today. I expect Theis to put up double-digit points while chipping in some rebounds and a few assists to help us cash in on the over.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Boston Celtics vs. Phoenix Suns.

Pickswise is the home of free sports picks, news, and best bets. Check out our expert NFL Picks including our very own Super Bowl page, as well as NBA Picks, and College Basketball Picks throughout the season.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.