Ricky Dimon
NCAAF
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Week 11 is delivering one of the more intriguing slates on the 2021 college football schedule, with a whopping 5 matchups between teams ranked in the top 25. That includes Oklahoma vs Baylor and Texas A&M vs Ole Miss. Georgia and Alabama are unlikely to have their College Football Playoff bids impacted this weekend, but the Sooners are obviously at risk and both Ohio State and Michigan could also be challenged. The Buckeyes have to go up against an upset-minded Purdue squad, while the Wolverines are slight underdogs at Penn State.
College football Week 11 lines
It’s never too early to look ahead toward the betting slate once the lines have come out. So without further ado, let’s dive into the numbers and discuss some potential opportunities on which to capitalize (lines courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook).
Tuesday
Buffalo +7 at Miami (OH)
Ohio +7 at Eastern Michigan
Akron +26 at Western Michigan
Wednesday
Toledo -9.5 at Bowling Green
Kent State +3 at Central Michigan
Ball State -2.5 at Northern Illinois
Thursday
North Carolina +6 at Pittsburgh
Friday
Cincinnati -23.5 at South Florida
Wyoming +14 at Boise State
Saturday
Michigan +1 at Penn State
Northwestern +24 at Wisconsin
NC State +2.5 at Wake Forest
Oklahoma -6 at Baylor
West Virginia +6 at Kansas State
UConn +40.5 at Clemson
Minnesota +6.5 at Iowa
Duke +11 at Virginia Tech
Syracuse +3.5 at Louisville
TCU +13.5 at Oklahoma State
Kansas +29.5 at Texas
Utah -24 at Arizona
USC -1.5 at California
Stanford +10 at Oregon State
Washington State +14 at Oregon
Arizona State -6 at Washington
Purdue +20 at Ohio State
Texas A&M -2 at Ole Miss
Georgia -20.5 at Tennessee
Miami (FL) -2.5 at Florida State
Kentucky -21 at Vanderbilt
Arkansas -1.5 at LSU
New Mexico State +51.5 at Alabama
South Carolina -1.5 at Missouri
UCF +7.5 at SMU
Iowa State -11 at Texas Tech
Mississippi State +5.5 at Auburn
Colorado +15 at UCLA
Maryland +13.5 at Michigan State
Notre Dame -4.5 at Virginia
Make sure you check out our previews for all of these games later in the week
Week 11 games to watch
Oklahoma vs Baylor is without question the cream of the crop on Saturday. The Sooners are undefeated, but they have messed around with opponents far less talented than Baylor and have endured a whole host of scares. Single-digit wins have come against Tulane, Nebraska, West Virginia, Kansas State, and Texas. Kansas also played OU close almost the entire way a couple of weeks ago. Baylor, meanwhile, is 7-2 with losses to Oklahoma State and TCU to go along with victories over Iowa State and BYU. With the Bears undefeated at home and the Sooners having a propensity for playing close games, I would lean toward the underdogs +6 at the moment. But I would keep it a small play unless the line grows to a touchdown or more.
I see at least one even better betting opportunity in the SEC. It looked like the market started to correct itself last week when it comes to Georgia’s dominance, as the Dawgs were massive -38 favorites against Missouri (they missed covering by a point). Now, however, they are favored by “only” 20 against Tennessee. The total is set at 55. UGA has won 7 of its last 8 games by at least 3 touchdowns and 6 of its last 7 have produced fewer than 55 points. I appreciate that Tennessee generally engages in high-scoring affairs, but is the tone of this week’s game going to be set by Tennessee, or by Georgia? You know the answer to that. Give me Georgia and the under.
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