Daily public money update: Bettors split on Suns vs. Bucks Game 3

Phoenix Suns head coach Monty Williams during NBA Finals Media Day at Phoenix Suns Arena
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NBA

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

We have some nice NBA playoffs and MLB action to report on Sunday, so it’s a solid day despite the NHL unfortunately being done. There are a lot of big games, which always attract some big public sides. Let’s take a look at where the public money is going as bettors once again try to beat the books, with the Bucks/Suns NBA Finals Game 3 leading the way.

NBA Finals: Suns +4 @ Bucks

This is interesting. The Suns took a commanding 2-0 lead in the NBA Finals on Thursday night, immediately afterward bettors started to line up to back them in Game 3. Over the last couple of days, things have shifted considerably. 60 percent of the bets are on the Suns but 56 percent of the money is on Milwaukee, per DraftKings’ internal numbers shared with us.

That means there have been a lot of large volume bets on the Bucks. When I wrote this column on Friday, 72 percent of the bets and 67 percent of the money were on the Suns, so that’s a pretty big swing. Over the weekend, some big money came in on Milwaukee. We’re going to be fading those whales here though, because we’re on Phoenix plus the points.

NBA Finals: Suns @ Bucks O/U 222.0

We’ve seen a similar shift with the total for Suns vs. Bucks Game 3. On Friday afternoon bettors were leaning toward the over, but the waters are muddied here. 51 percent of the bets are on the over, but 55 percent of the money is on the under. On Friday 60 percent of the bets and 68 percent of the money were on the over.

There’s nothing the public loves more than a good over, and the first two games of this series have both gone over, so it’s interesting to see this under money come in. Perhaps bettors finally thought oddsmakers overreacted after they raised the total nearly five points for what it was for Game 1. We don’t agree though, we’re making a small play on the over.

Euro Final: Italy vs. England

Here in the states there’s been a ton of enthusiasm about this England run to the finals, but that isn’t translating into bet splits. 52 percent of the bets and 59 percent of the money are on Italy at +235. 14 percent of the bets and 10 percent of the money are on ‘tie’ at +195. And only 34 percent of the bets and 30 percent of the money are on England at +148.

Perhaps the public is only on Italy because of the better than 2/1 odds. It also doesn’t hurt that they haven’t lost in 33 matches dating back to 2018. England has played truly phenomenal defense lately though, so this one should be tight. As such, we’re going with the minority here and betting on a tie. We also have a same game parlay with +2139 odds for the occasion!

MLB: Diamondbacks @ Dodgers over 9.0

Looking at the baseball slate now. See what I mean about the public and their overs? This one isn’t too hard to understand, just look at what happened on Saturday night. The Dodgers set a franchise record for runs scored, pouring in 22. Now the next day, 72 percent of the bets and 83 percent of the money are on the over nine.

Clearly the public is expecting the Dodgers to continue their offensive momentum. We wouldn’t be so sure. Los Angeles starter Tony Gonsolin shouldn’t have much trouble with this anemic Diamondbacks lineup, and this is an overreaction to one game. Prior to Saturday night, the Dodgers’ offense hadn’t been too impressive lately.

Pickswise is the home of free MLB predictions, NBA predictions , NHL predictions, and college basketball predictions.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on Bills vs. Patriots & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply