Hamburg tennis expert picks, predictions and best bets: Back on the Baez bandwagon
Major League Baseball is the only major American sport in action right now and it finds itself in the midst of the all-star break. That means the dog days of summer are well and truly upon us. What it also means is that less mainstream sports like tennis have a chance to steal some of the spotlight. As the men’s and women’s tours play in Hamburg and in other places around the world this week, your sports-betting appetites can be satisfied on the red clay of Germany.
Let’s take look at the odds to win the Hamburg title on both the men’s and women’s sides and discuss the best bets to be made.
Hamburg tennis odds to win
Here are the odds for the Hamburg European Open men’s and women’s singles tournaments, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Carlos Alcaraz -152
Andrey Rublev +600
Diego Schwartzman +1100
Pablo Carreno Busta +1200
Sebastian Baez +2500
Karen Khachanov +2800
Holger Rune +2800
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +2800
Botic van de Zandschulp +3300
Aslan Karatsev +3300
Francisco Cerundolo +3300
Laslo Djere +3300
Lorenzo Musetti +3300
Anett Kontaveit +450
Barbora Krejcikova +500
Jule Niemeier +850
Aleksandra Krunic +850
Katerina Siniakova +900
Bernarda Pera +1000
Anastasia Potapova +1100
Aliaksandra Sasnovich +1600
Magdalena Frech +2000
Maryna Zanevkska +2000
Hamburg tennis men’s 3-star value play: Andrey Rublev (+600)
Andrey Rublev lost to Sebastian Baez in the Bastad semifinals this past week, but that was the Russian’s first tournament in a while since he was banned from Wimbledon. With a couple of clay-court matches under his belt, Rublev should be ready to improve in Hamburg. Seeded second, the world No. 8 is on the other side of the bracket away from No. 1 seed Carlos Alcaraz – which is good news, of course. Rublev’s draw is also favorable because his first two opponents may be fatigued; Alexander Bublik is coming off a runner-up showing in Newport on Sunday and Francisco Cerundolo lifted the trophy in Bastad.
Hamburg tennis men’s 2-star value play: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+3000)
If Alejandro Davidovich Fokina can get past No. 5 seed Botic van de Zandschulp in the opening round, the Spaniard could be off the races. His draw would open up thereafter and he wouldn’t have to face Alcaraz until the final. ADF made a run to the French Open quarterfinals last spring and he reached the Monte-Carlo title match a few months ago, so his prowess on clay is obvious. There is no reason why he can’t go all the way in Hamburg.
Hamburg tennis men’s 1-star value play: Sebastian Baez (+2500)
Sebastian Baez came within one win of cashing my +2000 outright bet in Bastad. He will be making a quick turnaround following that runner-up performance to suit up in Hamburg, but the 21-year-old did not endure too many grueling matches so physically he should be good to go. Baez is establishing himself as one of the best clay-court players in the world and he has climbed to a ranking of No. 32. Make this a small play, however, because he could face Alcaraz in the second round.
Hamburg tennis women’s 3-star value play: Jule Niemeier (+800)
Jule Niemeier is coming off a quarterfinal run at Wimbledon. Now she is back on clay, which is by far her best surface (the 22-year-old has won 104 matches on the surface; by comparison she has won 30 on hard courts and nine on grass). Moreover, she is playing at home in Germany this week. Combine those factors with a favorable path through a wide-open bottom half of the Hamburg draw and things are shaping up nicely for Niemeier.
Hamburg tennis women’s 2-star value play: Andrea Petkovic (+2800)
At the other end of the career spectrum from Niemeier, Andrea Petkovic is still playing well on the WTA Tour. The 34-year-old is No. 70 in the world, which is good enough for a seed this week. That means Petkovic will avoid a meeting with any other seeded player until at least the quarterfinals. She is in a section of the bracket with top seed Anett Kontaveit, who is in the midst of a terrible slump. The door could be open for Petkovic to capitalize in front of the German crowd.
Hamburg tennis women’s 1-star value play: Maryna Zanevska (+2000)
Maryna Zanevska is Belgian, but it is well documented that she was born in Ukraine and therefore she has been getting plenty of crowd support. The Hamburg fans should be behind her, also in appreciation of her tennis. The 28-year-old has surged to 62nd in the rankings, mainly thanks to her prowess on clay. She has won 202 matches on the red stuff throughout her career – way more than on any other surface – and she is 55-24 on it over the past four seasons. Seeded seventh this week, Zanevska has a very good draw and looks poised to take advantage.
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