Hamburg tennis expert picks, predictions and best bets: Back on the Baez bandwagon

Sebastian Baez
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Tennis · 3 weeks ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

Major League Baseball is the only major American sport in action right now and it finds itself in the midst of the all-star break. That means the dog days of summer are well and truly upon us. What it also means is that less mainstream sports like tennis have a chance to steal some of the spotlight. As the men’s and women’s tours play in Hamburg and in other places around the world this week, your sports-betting appetites can be satisfied on the red clay of Germany.

Let’s take look at the odds to win the Hamburg title on both the men’s and women’s sides and discuss the best bets to be made.

Hamburg tennis odds to win

Here are the odds for the Hamburg European Open men’s and women’s singles tournaments, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Men

Carlos Alcaraz -152
Andrey Rublev +600
Diego Schwartzman +1100
Pablo Carreno Busta +1200
Sebastian Baez +2500
Karen Khachanov +2800
Holger Rune +2800
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +2800
Botic van de Zandschulp +3300
Aslan Karatsev +3300
Francisco Cerundolo +3300
Laslo Djere +3300
Lorenzo Musetti +3300

Women

Anett Kontaveit +450
Barbora Krejcikova +500
Jule Niemeier +850
Aleksandra Krunic +850
Katerina Siniakova +900
Bernarda Pera +1000
Anastasia Potapova +1100
Aliaksandra Sasnovich +1600
Magdalena Frech +2000
Maryna Zanevkska +2000

Hamburg tennis men’s 3-star value play: Andrey Rublev (+600)

Andrey Rublev lost to Sebastian Baez in the Bastad semifinals this past week, but that was the Russian’s first tournament in a while since he was banned from Wimbledon. With a couple of clay-court matches under his belt, Rublev should be ready to improve in Hamburg. Seeded second, the world No. 8 is on the other side of the bracket away from No. 1 seed Carlos Alcaraz – which is good news, of course. Rublev’s draw is also favorable because his first two opponents may be fatigued; Alexander Bublik is coming off a runner-up showing in Newport on Sunday and Francisco Cerundolo lifted the trophy in Bastad.

Andrey Rublev celebrates at the 2019 U.S. Open.

Hamburg tennis men’s 2-star value play: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+3000)

If Alejandro Davidovich Fokina can get past No. 5 seed Botic van de Zandschulp in the opening round, the Spaniard could be off the races. His draw would open up thereafter and he wouldn’t have to face Alcaraz until the final. ADF made a run to the French Open quarterfinals last spring and he reached the Monte-Carlo title match a few months ago, so his prowess on clay is obvious. There is no reason why he can’t go all the way in Hamburg.

Hamburg tennis men’s 1-star value play: Sebastian Baez (+2500)

Sebastian Baez came within one win of cashing my +2000 outright bet in Bastad. He will be making a quick turnaround following that runner-up performance to suit up in Hamburg, but the 21-year-old did not endure too many grueling matches so physically he should be good to go. Baez is establishing himself as one of the best clay-court players in the world and he has climbed to a ranking of No. 32. Make this a small play, however, because he could face Alcaraz in the second round.

Hamburg tennis women’s 3-star value play: Jule Niemeier (+800)

Jule Niemeier is coming off a quarterfinal run at Wimbledon. Now she is back on clay, which is by far her best surface (the 22-year-old has won 104 matches on the surface; by comparison she has won 30 on hard courts and nine on grass). Moreover, she is playing at home in Germany this week. Combine those factors with a favorable path through a wide-open bottom half of the Hamburg draw and things are shaping up nicely for Niemeier.

Hamburg tennis women’s 2-star value play: Andrea Petkovic (+2800)

At the other end of the career spectrum from Niemeier, Andrea Petkovic is still playing well on the WTA Tour. The 34-year-old is No. 70 in the world, which is good enough for a seed this week. That means Petkovic will avoid a meeting with any other seeded player until at least the quarterfinals. She is in a section of the bracket with top seed Anett Kontaveit, who is in the midst of a terrible slump. The door could be open for Petkovic to capitalize in front of the German crowd.

Hamburg tennis women’s 1-star value play: Maryna Zanevska (+2000)

Maryna Zanevska is Belgian, but it is well documented that she was born in Ukraine and therefore she has been getting plenty of crowd support. The Hamburg fans should be behind her, also in appreciation of her tennis. The 28-year-old has surged to 62nd in the rankings, mainly thanks to her prowess on clay. She has won 202 matches on the red stuff throughout her career – way more than on any other surface – and she is 55-24 on it over the past four seasons. Seeded seventh this week, Zanevska has a very good draw and looks poised to take advantage.

The Pickswise tennis handicappers are on hand throughout the entire tennis season, bringing you the best free expert Tennis predictions and picks from top events including the U.S. Open, French Open, Wimbledon and the Australian Open.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

BetMGM

$200

Get $200 in Free Bets & a PICKSWISE HAT!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline wager on any team

Win $200 in free bets and a FREE Pickswise hat

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$250

Bet One, Get One: FanDuel will match your first bet placed up to $250 in free bets

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Deposit at least $10 into your account

FanDuel will match your first bet up to $250 in Free Bets!

Must be 21+ in CO. First deposit of at least $10 required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.