Bragging rights are on the line when the 2 teams from Los Angeles resume their rivalry on Thursday in what will be their 3rd time meeting this season. On both prior occasions, the home team won by double digits. Will we see a reversal of this trend on Thursday, or can home dominance continue? This matchup tips off at 10:00 pm ET on Amazon Prime Video, and I’ve pieced together my Lakers vs Clippers parlay picks at +510 odds. Let’s break down each leg, while you can also grab our expert NBA picks for all 8 matchups on Thursday night.
Lakers ML (-102)
Luka Doncic over 41.5 points+assists (-112)
John Collins over 13.5 points (-110)
Lakers vs Clippers parlay odds: +510
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Lakers vs Clippers SGP pick: LA Lakers ML over LA Clippers (-102)
It was a heroic but also a much-needed win for the Lakers in their last game, as they triumphed in Denver 115-107 against the shorthanded Nuggets. With the win, the Lakers improved to 14-8 SU in road games, which is notable ahead of another road contest on Thursday — even if the travel is short. The Clippers have their injury issues with Kawhi Leonard being questionable here with a knee issue. He’s skipped the last 3 games because of it; the outcome of this game will largely depend on his availability.
Without knowing Leonard’s status, it’s not easy making a prediction. That being said, I’d give a slight edge to the Lakers, who have both of their superstars healthy and ready to play. Luka Doncic and co. are 4-1 ATS/SU in 5 meetings, and the 2 wins over the Raptors and Nuggets were a solid warm-up for tonight’s massive game. I’ll go with the team in purple and gold here.
Read our full Lakers vs Clippers prediction
Lakers vs Clippers SGP pick: Luka Doncic over 41.5 points+assists (-112)
Games like these are exactly why the Lakers acquired a player like Luka Doncic. The former Mavericks superstar always seems to excel in high-stakes games, and it rarely gets any bigger than the Lakers playing their cross-town rival during the regular season. Even during his days with Dallas, Doncic has always performed well against the Clippers; we all still remember that buzzer-beater three in the playoffs against them.
Looking at the last 10 meetings, he’s averaging 29.4 points and 8.6 assists against LAC. We’ll need him to produce slightly over that in Thursday’s game, but Luka has cleared this line 3 times in his 5 most recent games. For the season, he has done it in 55% of his appearances (19 of 34 games), and if we lower it by just 2 points, that percentage is at a 70% success rate — which is an indicator of just how productive and consistent Luka has been this year. It goes without saying that the Lakers will only go as far as Luka takes them in this game, and I’m banking he will be on his A-game at the Intuit Dome.
See our expert’s NBA best bets for each of tonight’s 8 matchups!
Lakers vs Clippers parlay pick: John Collins over 13.5 points (-110)
I like this bet for a number of reasons. The primary one is John Collins’ recent play – he has been a completely different player over the past month or so, upping his game to a whole new level compared to the first month or so of the season. Over his last 8 games, he’s putting up 17 points per game on an unreal 70% from the field and over 67% from three, which is a stark contrast to his season average of 13.3 points on 55% efficiency. Collins is looking more and more like the player he once was in his glory days with the Hawks and the Utah Jazz the past 2 seasons before coming to LA.
In the first two meetings this season, Collins put up 17 and 18 points on 70% and 75% from the field, respectively. Another factor to consider here is Kawhi’s availability. If he opts not to play, then the burden of carrying the offense falls solely on James Harden who, let’s be real, cannot carry a team on his back at this stage of his career. Thankfully though, he will have John Collins by his side to take some of the load. This bet has cashed in 7 of his last 10 games and in 9 of 10 meetings with the Lakers.
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