Ricky Dimon
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A full 15-game schedule is on the docket for Tuesday as the week in Major League Baseball continues. It is headlined by a 7:15 pm ET showdown on TBS between National League East rivals Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets. The Los Angeles Dodgers are wrapping up the slate by hosting the Washington Nationals at 10:10 pm ET on ESPN+. Below is my MLB mega parlay, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks for today’s games.
Orioles -1.5 (+135)
White Sox -1.5 (+140)
Twins ML (-115)
MLB parlay odds: +954
For this parlay, we are going with 2 favorites on the run line and 1 favorite on the money line. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Baltimore Orioles -1.5 over Cleveland Guardians (+135)
Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill ranks in just the 15th percentile in xBA and the 14th percentile in xSLG this season, while his 39.2% hard-hit rate is a career-worst mark. His strikeout rate has fallen to a measly 12.8%, ranking in the 4th percentile. His 5.4% K-BB% is the 7th-lowest among pitchers with at least 40.0 innings pitched. Despite a 4.75 ERA not looking pretty, his 5.01 FIP and 5.51 xERA are both worse numbers – and the worst he has ever produced, in fact. The Orioles haven’t been as hot against right-handed pitching as they were at the beginning of 2023, but they are still 12th in ISO and have a wRC+ of 97 against RHPs in May. The combination of Kyle Gibson on the mound and the Orioles’ bats should be enough for them to prevail by multiple runs.
Lock in our Phillies vs Mets Same Game Parlay at +496 odds
Chicago White Sox -1.5 over LA Angels (+140)
Lucas Giolito is pitching in the friendly confines of Guaranteed Rate Field for the White Sox on Tuesday. At home, it’s tough to pick against him. The right-hander is sporting a 2.27 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP at home while limiting the opponents to a .202 batting average. Giolito has allowed more than 2 runs only once in those 5 efforts. On the road, he is saddled with a 5.68 ERA and opposing batters are hitting .292 off him in such situations. The 28-year-old will feed the Angels a steady diet of fastballs, sliders and changeups – which should work well for him since the Los Angeles lineup ranks below average against fastballs and sliders. Los Angeles is countering with Tyler Anderson, who has a 4.81 ERA paired with a 4.99 xERA and a 1.56 WHIP. From last season to this one he was seen his strikeout rate go from 19.5% to 13.6% and his walk rate go from 4.8% to 10.5%. Give me the White Sox to cover the run line.
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Minnesota Twins ML over Houston Astros (-115)
The Twins pulled off a 7-5 victory in 10 innings on Monday, so they have momentum heading into this one. They should be feeling even better about themselves with Joe Ryan taking the mound. Ryan is 7-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in addition to 70 strikeouts across 61.0 innings over 10 starts, plus he has quality starts in 7 of his last 8 outings. He picked up a win on April 8 in his first appearance against the Astros, allowing 4 runs, 3 hits and a walk while tying a season-best with 10 strikeouts over 6.0 innings. The Astros are starting right-hander Brandon Bielak. Houston is 1-3 in his 4 starts this season. This is a good opportunity for the visitors to record another win.
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