NFL Week 5 same game parlay (+866): Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) directs teammates during the second half \against the New Orleans Saints at TIAA Bank Field.
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Ricky Dimon

NFL· 1 week ago

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

It will be a battle between 3-1 teams when the Green Bay Packers visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday afternoon. Let’s take a look at the best same game parlay option for Packers-Bengals, and also be sure to check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.

Green Bay Packers -3 (-106)

Aaron Rodgers over 260.5 passing yards (-113)

Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown (+100)

Parlay odds: +866

Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Aaron Rodgers throwing for his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a Green Bay win and cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with betting on Cincinnati receiver Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown. But even if Chase does, there is no reason why the Packers can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.

Green Bay Packers -3 (-106)

That the Packers are off to a strong start is no surprise, although things looked dicey when they got blown out in their season-opener by New Orleans via a 38-3 decision. If there were concerns about Rodgers’ motivation level, those have been put to rest over the past 3 weeks. Rodgers has 9 total touchdowns (8 passing, 1 rushing) and no turnovers in 3 victories, with Green Bay winning those games by an average of 10 points. All 5 of Aaron Jones’ scores have come during the same stretch. The Bengals have no reason to apologize for being 3-1, but the opponents they have defeated are a combined 2-10. They also have a loss to a mediocre Chicago squad. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 overall, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 against opponents with winning records, and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 as a favorite.

Aaron Rodgers over 260.5 passing yards (-113)

The Bengals are in the top half of the NFL in passing defense (barely), but that can be easily explained. I mentioned above about their soft schedule, and that can be seen not only in their opponents’ records but also in the opposing quarterbacks. The last three QBs Cincinnati has faced are Chicago’s platoon (Andy Dalton and Justin Fields split time in that Week 2 contest), Ben Roethlisberger, and rookie Trevor Lawrence. When the Bengals went up against a legitimate threat in Kirk Cousins and the Vikings, they surrendered 351 passing yards. Rodgers has passed for at least 248 yards in each of the past three weeks and should have little trouble amassing 261 or more on Sunday.

Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown (+100)

Unsurprisingly, it has not taken long for Chase and Joe Burrow to develop the same connection that they had with each other at LSU. Actually, it didn’t take any time at all. Four games into his rookie season, Chase has 17 receptions on 25 targets for 297 yards and 4 touchdowns. Green Bay has already given up 10 TDs through the air, tied for the fourth-most in the NFL.

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