NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Scorer predictions and prop bets

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) celebrates with offensive guard Nick Allegretti (73) offensive guard Andrew Wylie (77) running back Darrel Williams (31) his touchdown pass scored against the Las Vegas Raiders.
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Ricky Dimon

NFL· 3 weeks ago

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

There was no Thursday or Saturday NFL action this week, so a huge slate of games awaits us on Sunday. Week 17 – which for the first time ever isn’t the final week of the season — is highlighted by Chiefs vs Bengals, Dolphins vs Titans, Rams vs Ravens, Cardinals vs Cowboys, and also Vikings vs Packers on Sunday Night Football.

With both NFL playoff spots and fantasy football championship implications on the line, which players will come up big and find their ways to the end zone? Let’s take a look at some of the best touchdown scorer prop bets for this weekend.

Favored to score – Ronald Jones II, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-110)

With Leonard Fournette on injured reserve, Jones is RB1 in Tampa Bay. Ke’Shawn Vaughn will get some of the carries, but it’s Jones who will shoulder the load. RJ2 handled those duties nicely last Sunday, when he rushed 20 times for 65 yards and a touchdown during a 32-6 rout of Carolina. He also caught 2 of 3 targets for 16 yards. Jones and the Bucs now have an even more favorable matchup against an atrocious Jets squad. New York is 30th in the league against the run and dead last in rushing TDs allowed (27).

Slight underdog – Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs (+100)

Kelce is back from a brief hiatus due to COVID protocols, and being well-rested should allow him to pick up right where he left off 2 weeks ago. In a 34-28 overtime defeat of the Chargers, Kelce hauled in 10 of 13 targets for 191 yards and 2 scores – including the game-winner during extra time. The 32-year-old now has 83 receptions for 1,066 yards and 7 TDs for the season. Next up for Kansas City is a Cincinnati team that has given up the seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends.

Bigger underdog – DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (+200)

Smith finished with just 3 catches for 40 yards (and no touchdowns) in Philadelphia’s 27-17 win over Washington on Dec. 21, which is probably why you can get him all the way at +200 this week. But there is no reason to think the former Heisman Trophy winner will be held in check again. He has scored 5 TDs this year and 3 have come in the last 7 contests. Another shot at the Football Team is a perfect opportunity to get back into the end zone. Washington is 30th in the NFL against the pass and has surrendered more scores through the air than any other team – and by a country mile, too (33; no other team has allowed more than 29).

Longshot – Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers (+220)

Aaron Rodgers looks poised to earn another NFL MVP honor and his connection with Lazard has been effective of late. Lazard was never targeted more than 4 times in any of the first 4 games this season, but he has been targeted more than 4 times 5 of his last 8 games. That stretch has seen him deliver 5 touchdowns. Minnesota is 27th in the league against the pass and its secondary is extremely banged up. The Vikings are also tied for 7th in the department of most passing TDs allowed (26).

Anytime Touchdown Scorer FAQs

What does “anytime touchdown scorer” mean?

Anytime touchdown scorer is a popular player prop bet that NFL bettors can wager on throughout the season. But what is it, and how do you win?

As the name suggests, placing a wager on the anytime touchdown scorer market is when you tip a particular player to score a touchdown during a game. This can be a rushing or receiving touchdown for an offensive player, or you can wager on a team’s defense/special teams to score a touchdown by interception return and fumble return or kickoff and punt returns.

If your player or defense scores a touchdown, you win! The odds will differ from player-to-player depending on the sportsbooks’ calculated probability of that player scoring.

Does anytime touchdown scorer include passing touchdowns?

Not for a quarterback, no. A player must get into the endzone, himself, in order to qualify as an anytime touchdown scorer. If a quarterback throws a touchdown pass, only the player who caught it counts as the scorer. If Tom Brady throws a touchdown pass to Rob Gronkowski, wagers placed on Gronkowski as an anytime touchdown scorer will cash. However, those placed on Brady as an anytime touchdown scorer will not. See below for more on what the anytime touchdown scorer market means for quarterbacks.

What does anytime touchdown scorer mean for a QB?

For a wager on a QB to be an anytime touchdown scorer to cash, he must follow the same rules as a running back, tight end, or receiver. He must get into the endzone himself, either as a runner or a pass-catcher.

In the age of the mobile quarterback, QBs such as Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, and Josh Allen are often seen rushing in for a touchdown on any given Sunday. And don’t forget the occasional Philly Special, either. QBs can sometimes catch passes for TDs, too.

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