Caleb Wilfinger
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Wild Card Weekend is here and we have a showdown between a pair of overachieving NFC teams in store for Sunday, with the New York Giants taking on the Minnesota Vikings.
With kickoff set for 4:30 pm ET on FOX, it’s time to take a look at my Same Game Parlay for this matchup — which pays out at over 8/1 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Vikings -3 (-105)
Under 48.5 (-115)
Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown scorer (-120)
Parlay odds: +869
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Minnesota Vikings -3 (-105)
Under 48.5 (-115)
Considering this is the teams’ second matchup in a 4-week stretch, it’s fair to think the defenses might have the upper hand this time. This is also the first playoff start for Jones, so I can envision the Giants’ offense struggling to put up points, even against a poor Minnesota defensive unit. The best game-script for this under is the Vikings getting out to a multiple-score lead and slowing the game down, while the Giants’ dink-and-dunk passing game bleeds the clock dry. Surprisingly, the Giants have the 7th-highest TD rate in the red zone this season at 63% and the Vikings are outside the top 20 defensively in that category, so that matchup does present a few challenges for this one going under the total. Nonetheless, I still think the playoff jitters will affect Jones enough to keep this game under the total.
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Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown scorer (-120)
The Giants are back in the playoffs for the first time since the 2016 season, and a large part of their success is due to the play of Saquon Barkley. Barkley is performing at an extremely high level, generating the majority of the Giants’ offense on the ground and racking up 10 rushing touchdowns in 16 games played this season. Against Minnesota on December 24, Barkley was excellent once again — tallying 84 yards on 14 carries for 6 yards per attempt. He also had 8 catches against this poor Vikings defense, a trend that I could see continuing in this week’s matchup. Considering Barkley’s workload should be high, this number for Barkley to find the end zone still has good value.
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