Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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The first Black Friday game in NFL history is yet again ANOTHER divisional matchup and ANOTHER potential blowout situation. The Miami Dolphins (-9.5) travel to take on the Tim Boyle led New York Jets. I have a hard time getting excited for this matchup other than it’s the only game on for the day, but we may have found an angle. Let’s dive in.
Be sure to check out our full Dolphins vs Jets predictions
Tyreek Hill, WR, MIA Over 5.5 receptions (-145)
Line available on Bet365 Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Finding a play in this game was extremely difficult. I refuse to bet on any Jets offense player and considered fading a few, but Tim Boyle in his 3 starts didn’t look as awful as one may think. Instead of making wild assumptions, I decided to play it safe. Hill has hit this line in 80% of games this season. The line is at 5.5 and heavily juiced because it is against this Jets defense, but Sauce Gardner has had a tough time replicating the success he had as a rookie.
Hill has designed plays for him to get him the ball early and in space, so 2-3 receptions should come from screens and slants. As far as other WR1s that have hit this mark against the Jets, look no further than Stefon Diggs, CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, Keenan Allen, and Davante Adams. Hill is certainly in that class of receiver and we’re getting a beatable line. This is good for 1.5u
