Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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Our 3rd and final game for the Thanksgiving slate is another divisional matchup, where the Seattle Seahawks (+7) host the San Francisco 49ers. A home divisional underdog getting a touchdown is tough to ignore, although the status of Geno Smith will be paramount in betting any side on this game. Smith did not practice on Monday, but many early signs are optimistic as it is an elbow bruise.
Be sure to check out our full 49ers vs Seahawks predictions
Deebo Samuel over 10.5 rushing yards (-110)
Line available on Bet365 at the time of publishing.
It’s a short week for the 49ers and McCaffrey could use a lightened load in these instances. Combine that with the crazy atmosphere of playing in Seattle and I think we see Deebo get 3-4 carries this Thursday. Samuel averaged a full 3 rush attempts per game on the road this season and 7.17 yards per attempt in those instances, compared to 3.7 y/a at home.For his career, he’s only played one game in Seattle and he went 2 carries for 33 yards. 4 of his 11 career 100 yard receiving games have come against Seattle, but their corner duo is something special.
I’m going to stay on Deebo, but pivot to rushing because I expect him to get creative by getting the ball in his hands another way Thursday and lessening the pressure on Purdy. This is a tactic Shanahan has used for most of Deebo’s career as we can see in his home/road splits: 20 Y/G on the road vs 11.7 at home, 2.9 attempts per game on the road vs 2.1 at home, 6.92 yards per rush on the road vs 5.51 at home. It’s a way to quiet crowd noise and get the ball in the hands of your most dynamic player (behind CMC). This is a 2U play for me.
