PropBetGuy's best Super Bowl 56 player props: Los Angeles Rams edition

Photo of PropBetGuy

PropBetGuy

NFL· 3 months ago

Show Bio

More commonly known as @PropBetGuy on Twitter, Doug Carter has been crunching the numbers on player props for years. He's also a staunch defender of future Hall of Famer, Eli Manning.

After a wildly unpredictable NFL playoffs, we have finally made it to Super Bowl LVI. The Rams and Bengals will square off in SoFi Stadium for the ultimate prize. While not many people had these teams pegged for the big game, it’s evident that both are playing their best football at the right time.

Following a slew of offseason and mid-season transactions, Los Angeles beefed up its roster with a considerable amount of talent. With future draft picks sent out the door, the Rams have fully embodied a win-now philosophy — and they are one win away from doing just that.

With that, below is where I’ll list all Rams-related props I’ll be taking for the game. Be sure to check back here leading up to kickoff, as the books will continue to roll out the props as the week pushes forward.

Check out our Super Bowl Hub for extensive analysis, picks, props and parlays

Kendall Blanton (LAR) over 29.5 receiving yards (-110)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing.

I’ll take the bait on the backup tight-end. With the absence of Tyler Higbee, Blanton is expected to run close to 100% of the tight-end routes on Sunday. In limited playing time this season, Stafford has shown his trust in the first-year player, culminating in 57 yards on 5 catches (5 targets) in the NFC Championship game.

The Bengals defense has been succeptible to tight-ends all season, allowing the 5th most yards per game to the position. Blanton is not Tyler Higbee, but he’ll be given plenty of opportunity. With the Bengals focused on containing Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr., I have Blanton projected at 35 yards.

Cam Akers (LAR) under 16.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Line available at BetMGM at time of publishing.

There are plenty of contributing factors to take the under on Akers’ attempts. Firstly, as I highlighted in the conference championship Akers has yet to recapture the form he hit late in his rookie season.

Secondly, both Sony Michel and Darrell Henderson (who is trending toward suiting up) are both waiting in the wings. Each back has shown an ability lead the Rams’ ground game over the course of the season. With Akers nursing a shoulder injury, it likely won’t take much for the Rams to chew off some of his workload — especially during the biggest game of the season.

And lastly, the Bengals are one of the slower-paced teams in the NFL. They tend to milk the clock, which is most likely what they will try to do to keep the ball away from the vaunted Rams offense. A residual effect of this slowness is the Bengals allowing the 6th-fewest running back rush attempts per game this season.

I have Akers pegged for 14 carries on Sunday.

Matthew Stafford (LAR) over 0.5 interceptions (-140)

Line available at time of Super Bowl Prop Show. Playable up to -145.

One of the Rams’ offseason acquisitions was Stafford, the longtime Detroit Lions quarterback. While the 13-year veteran acquitted himself well in his first year at the helm for the Rams, he did lead the NFL in one ominous stat: interceptions.

Stafford threw 17 picks over the course of the regular season and one in the NFC Championship game against the 49ers (many would argue that it should have been 2). He had the 3rd-highest rate in Pro Football Focus’ turnover worthy play metric, as well as the 5th-highest bad throw percentage. With the high-volume passing attack of the Rams, Stafford finished the regular season with 13 interceptions in the last 9 games.

The Bengals have shown their ball-hawking ability in the playoffs, picking off 6 passes in 3 games thus far. It’s also noteworthy that the Bengals blitz at the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL. While this might not seem conducive to this prop, Stafford actually excelled against the blitz this season. He was the NFL’s highest-rated passer in such situations, only throwing 1 of his 18 total picks against blitzes. With the Bengals more prone to dropping into coverage, I like their chances to generate a turnover through the air.

The Rams’ run game has struggled and I fully expect Sean McVay to base his gameplan on the aerial attack. Stafford will be aggressive as ever, and that should result in at least one pass to land in the hands of a Cincinnati defender.

Be sure to check out our full Super Bowl 56 preview for Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Predictions  and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on any UFC 274 fight!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any fighter to win at UFC 274

Win $150 in free bets if your fighter wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.