JutPicks
Show Bio
Saturday’s NBA slate looks to be one where we can make some profit. Let’s dive into my top NBA player prop bets for Saturday, February 10.
In addition to that, make sure you read our NBA predictions for the biggest games on the docket tonight.
Andrew Nembhard, SG, IND, Under 4.5 assists (-104)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Fading Andrew Nembhard has been on my to-do list since Tyrese Haliburton returned from injury. Even though Haliburton isn’t playing his usual minutes and most likely won’t until after the all-star break, he is eating into Nembhard’s usage. In 2 of the last 3 games with Haliburton, Nembhard has logged a usage rate below 10% — including registering fewer than 5 assists on 2 occasions. In the previous game, for example, Nembhard had 3 assists on 5 opportunities while Haliburton had 17 assist chances.
Most of the discussion will be about how much extended floor time Nembhard will see with Buddy Hield now shipped out to Philadelphia. On Thursday without Hield, Nembhard played 25 minutes — around his season average. Tonight against the New York Knicks — even with the plethora of injuries — I expect NY to slow down the Pacers with its league-low pace of play in the last 10 games and limit Nembhard’s assist chances.
Check out our Suns vs Warriors Same Game Parlay at +533 odds
Andrew Wiggins, SF, GSW, Over 10.5 points (-108)
Odds available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.
I’m not too happy about Andrew Wiggins’ play this season, but this line is too low with the minutes I project him seeing him tonight against the Phoenix Suns. Wiggins should be in line for 25-28 minutes, even with the return of Gary Payton II and Klay Thompson returning after missing last game.
January was a breath of fresh air for Wiggins. He shot 49% from the field after shooting just 40% in December. February has also treated him well. In the 4 games so far he is making 40% of his attempts from 3-point range.
You won’t see me back 4th or 5th scoring options much, but the price Caesars offers intrigues me. The rest of the major market has this player prop priced at -115 or -125. Not only that, but with Draymond Green and Klay Thompon active, Wiggins is over this line in 11 of 19 games this season and scored 21 in Philadelphia on Wednesday. This is a prop I feel comfortable laddering to 15+ points at +300 on FanDuel for a quarter of a unit.
