Today's Best NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 4/30: Milwaukee's season rests in Khris Middleton's hands

Khris Middleton
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Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley


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We’ve got an all-Eastern Conference Tuesday night in the NBA playoffs with the game of the night being the 76ers (+4) holding on for dear life as the series tips back to New York with the Knicks holding a 3-1 lead. Orlando was able to tie the series 2-2 against Cleveland with both teams defending home court, but can they continue their offensive success on the road? Lastly, we have the strangest playoff series of the entire postseason with the Pacers up 3-1 and a chance to close out on the road tonight. Dame Lillard is currently doubtful to play with Achilles Tendinitis. That Pacers vs Bucks game is where my best NBA player prop bet lies, while you can also read our experts’ NBA picks for every game tonight after they went 3-0 on sides yesterday.

Khris Middleton (MIL) over 6.5 assists (-102)

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

Game 4 of this series was marred with the ejection of Bobby Portis in the first quarter, forcing Middleton into a very different role for the remainder of the game. Middleton finished that game with 5 assists on 10 potential assists. My suspicion is that Bobby Portis will not be ejected 2 games in a row and it allows Middleton to be a facilitator. This regular season with Middleton and Portis on the floor and Damian Lillard off, Middleton leads the team with 78 total assists, 69% of which were 2-point shots. This fits perfectly with how Indiana defends the three-pointer well but struggles in the paint. I like Middleton to see high usage tonight and Portis should be the biggest benefactor in the paint. 1u

Instead of the normal $5 lotto today, I’m playing Middleton’s alternate assist lines of 8+ (+190) for 0.5u and 10+ (+600) for 0.1u.

Read our full Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions

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