NFL Christmas touchdown scorer predictions and prop bets: Browns vs Packers

Aaron Rodgers and Allen Lazard of the Green Bay Packers celebrate a touchdown
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Ricky Dimon

NFL· 4 weeks ago

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

Football never stops – not for Christmas, and not for Covid-19. There was actually a day off from NFL action on Wednesday and – following Thursday Night Football between the Titans and 49ers – again on Christmas Eve. But now we are back in business with a Saturday duo before the majority of the Week 16 slate takes place on Sunday.

Saturday’s opener pits the Cleveland Browns against the Green Packers, a matchup that features plenty of star power mainly in the form of Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, and Nick Chubb. Which players should we expect to find the endzone during this AFC vs NFC contest? Let’s break down some of the best touchdown scorer bets for Browns-Packers.

First touchdown scorer: Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers (+1400)

I’m not big on favorites in this market, because the first touchdown scorer is generally a crapshoot (there are some exceptions like Derrick Henry, when he was healthy). You can almost always find better value with longer odds. I believe that is again the case in the afternoon game on Saturday. Lazard isn’t the longest of longshots at +1400, but I think this is a spot in which he has great value.

Lazard has scored 4 touchdowns this season and all 4 have come in the last 7 games. More success should continue against the Browns, who are down to only one reliable cornerback (Denzel Ward). Ward may be able to somewhat contain Adams, giving Lazard room to roam throw an otherwise weak Cleveland secondary. The Browns are in the middle of the pack in passing defense and only 7 teams have given up more passing TDs than them in 2021 (24). Given the visitors’ Covid-19 issues and their general on-field woes (4-6 record since a 3-1 start), you have to like Green Bay’s chances of coming out hot and putting the first points on the board. Don’t be surprised if it’s Lazard who is responsible.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Anytime touchdown scorer: Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers (+100)

Let’s go all in on Green Bay here. We have them at -7 in our game preview, so we will also back the home team in the touchdown scorer market. Jones has scored 10 touchdowns this year (4 on the ground, 6 through the air), including 3 in the past 2 weeks. Needless to say, getting him at plus money – even if it’s right on the number – is pretty much a steal. The Browns aren’t great against the run, either, so Jones should be in line for another productive day at the office.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer FAQs

What does “anytime touchdown scorer” mean?

Anytime touchdown scorer is a popular player prop bet that NFL bettors can wager on throughout the season. But what is it, and how do you win?

As the name suggests, placing a wager on the anytime touchdown scorer market is when you tip a particular player to score a touchdown during a game. This can be a rushing or receiving touchdown for an offensive player, or you can wager on a team’s defense/special teams to score a touchdown by interception return and fumble return or kickoff and punt returns.

If your player or defense scores a touchdown, you win! The odds will differ from player-to-player depending on the sportsbooks’ calculated probability of that player scoring.

Does anytime touchdown scorer include passing touchdowns?

Not for a quarterback, no. A player must get into the endzone, himself, in order to qualify as an anytime touchdown scorer. If a quarterback throws a touchdown pass, only the player who caught it counts as the scorer. If Tom Brady throws a touchdown pass to Mike Evans, wagers placed on Evans as an anytime touchdown scorer will cash. However, those placed on Brady as an anytime touchdown scorer will not (unless he also runs for a TD). See below for more on what the anytime touchdown scorer market means for quarterbacks.

What does anytime touchdown scorer mean for a QB?

For a wager on a QB to be an anytime touchdown scorer to cash, he must follow the same rules as a running back, tight end, or receiver. He must get into the endzone himself, either as a runner or a pass-catcher.

In the age of the mobile quarterback, QBs such as Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, and Josh Allen are often seen rushing in for a touchdown on any given Sunday. And don’t forget the occasional Philly Special, either. QBs can sometimes catch passes for TDs, too.

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