Matthew Lowrimore
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UFC 276 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card will feature a middleweight title fight as the Main Event and a featherweight title fight at the Co-Main Event.
Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this event, with odds of +670 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 276 predictions for the full 12-fight card.
Let’s get into our parlay for Saturday’s card.
Pedro Munhoz vs Sean O’Malley: Fight to go the Distance – No (-135)
Sean O’Malley is a big favorite here, but this is likely the toughest opponent he has faced in his UFC career. He has won 12 of his 15 career fights by finish, including 6 of his 8 UFC wins. Pedro Munhoz has never lost by a finish, but with the pace that O’Malley fights at, this certainly has the feel of a fight that will end before full 3 rounds are up. For that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be the play.
Jalin Turner ML (-145) over Brad Riddell
Jalin Turner comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-5. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Jamie Mullarkey by KO/TKO back in March of this year. Turner is averaging 6.51 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 4.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 44%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.16 takedowns per every 15 minutes, and 1.7 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 80% and his takedown defense is 76%.
Turner is a moderate-sized favorite in this fight, which is warranted due to him being very balanced. He has won 4 fights in a row and now has won all 12 of his career fights by finish. Turner has a big edge in striking and while his grappling volume is worse, he still is more accurate at landing takedowns and defends them more effectively. For that reason, backing Turner will be the play.
Don’t miss our UFC 276 best bets!
Ian Garry ML (-175) over Gabe Green
Ian Garry comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-0. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Darian Weeks by unanimous decision back in April of this year. Garry is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and he has a striking accuracy of 53%. He is absorbing 3.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. He has not shown much grappling ability yet but does defend takedowns 75% of the time.
Garry is a large favorite here for a reason as he is undefeated in his MMA career. Gabe Green has been solid as well, but he tends to absorb too many strikes, which could be the difference against a guy like Garry. For that reason, backing Garry to remain undefeated will be the play.
Dricus Du Plessis ML (-150) over Brad Tavares
Dricus Du Plessis comes into this fight with an MMA record of 16-2. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Trevin Giles by KO/TKO back in July of 2021. Du Plessis is averaging 5.07 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. He is absorbing 2.39 strikes and has a striking defense of 68%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.99 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 50%, and he has not had to defend a takedown in the UFC.
Du Plessis is a moderate favorite here and looks to be the right side. He has the better striking, absorbs less damage and has better grappling. For that reason, backing Du Plessis will be the play.
Parlay these four UFC 276 predictions for a potential payout at +670 odds!
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