UFC Fight Night 186 predictions, picks, best bets and four-fight parlay

Feb 22, 2020; Auckland, New Zealand; Angela Hill is declared the winner by decision against Loma Lookboonmee during UFC Fight Night Auckland at Spark Arena.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 year ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

We are back in Las Vegas this week for UFC Fight Night 186. Our event this week will feature a Heavyweight fight for the Main Event. There are some huge favorites among this event, so looking for a parlay could be the best way to find the most value.

Here is our favorite four-fight parlay that pays at odds of +620. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 186 predictions for the full 11-fight card.

Ronnie Lawrence Money Line (-164)

Ronnie Lawrence enters this fight with an MMA record of 6-1. Where Lawrence is going to look to dominate is on the mat. He is averaging 12.00 takedowns per every 15 minutes and has a takedown accuracy of 70 percent. In the same sense, he has a takedown defense of 100 percent.

Vince Cachero is coming off his UFC debut loss to Jamall Emmers, a fight he lost by unanimous decision. He did not land a single takedown in his debut, and only has a takedown defense of 28 percent. He was taken down five times by Emmers, so I do not have much faith that he will improve here. The lack of takedown defense for Cachero is going to cause too many problems here, so I will back Lawrence to win.

Sabina Mazo Money Line (-215)

Sabina Mazo comes into this fight 3-1 in the UFC. Mazo is averaging 7.14 significant strikes per minute, landing them with an accuracy of 46 percent. She is absorbing 4.07 strikes per minute, but has a striking defense of 62 percent. Her grappling has also been strong, averaging 1.02 takedowns per every 15 minutes. More importantly, she has a takedown accuracy of 100 percent and a takedown defense of 83 percent.

Alexis Davis has lost three fights in a row. Also, her last fight was back in July of 2019, so the layoff could be an issue here to say the least. The concerning part is that her takedown accuracy is 33 percent, while she defends takedowns 32 percent of the time. Davis looks to be on the tail end of her career and I do not believe she will be able to keep up with the young Mazo.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov Money Line (-102)

Ramazan Kuramagomedov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-0. While this will be his first official UFC fight, he did fight in a Dana White Contender Series event back in July of 2019. At least in that one fight, he showed a ton of striking potential. Kuramagomedov is averaging 11.67 significant strikes per minute, and is landing them 67 percent of the time.

Alex Oliveira is starting to become very inconsistent. He lost his last fight by submission back in October of 2020 and has lost four of his last six fights. This is the second fight in a row that Oliveira is facing an undefeated fighter. He obviously did not fare well back in October and I do not see him being any better here. The striking from Kuramagomedov looks too good right now, so I will back him to win this fight.

Angela Hill Win by Decision (-185)

Angela Hill is averaging 5.70 significant strikes per minute, landing them 49 percent of the time. She is absorbing 5.16 strikes and has a striking defense of 63 percent. She has a takedown accuracy of 37 percent, while defending takedowns 77 percent of the time. Every single UFC fight for Yoder has gone the distance. In the same sense, 12 of Hill’s 16 UFC fights have done the same. Though because Yoder took this fight on short notice, I will back Hill by decision to get the job done.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on either NYY or CWS to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup (30-1 Odds)!

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Place a $5 bet on the Yankees or White Sox to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup

If your teams, get 30-1 odds and win $150!

Must be 21 years or over to participate. Reward paid in site credit. Offer valid for new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.